**Trader consensus on the Hong Kong Observatory maximum temperature for September 22 centers on 30–32°C, with market-implied odds of 27.0%, 33.5%, and 26.5% respectively.** Official HKO guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate a mainly cloudy day with sunny intervals, a few showers, and easterly winds strengthening to force 3–4, advecting slightly cooler maritime air from the South China Sea where sea-surface temperatures hover near 29°C. Differentiation among these outcomes hinges on the timing and coverage of convective showers, which can suppress peak insolation, versus breaks of sunshine that allow greater surface heating under light-to-moderate flow. Historical late-September climatology shows mean daily maxima near 30°C, but recent weaker northeast monsoon influence has sustained warmer baselines. Updated high-resolution model runs and the next HKO bulletin will likely tighten the range before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Hongkong am 22. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Hongkong am 22. September?
31°C 34%
30°C 27%
32°C 27%
29°C 9%
NEU
NEU
22. Sep. 2026
25°C oder darunter
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
4%
29°C
9%
30°C
27%
31°C
34%
32°C
27%
33°C
5%
34°C
1%
35°C oder höher
<1%
31°C 34%
30°C 27%
32°C 27%
29°C 9%
NEU
NEU
22. Sep. 2026
25°C oder darunter
$0 Vol.
2%
26°C
$123 Vol.
1%
27°C
$40 Vol.
2%
28°C
$40 Vol.
4%
29°C
$20 Vol.
9%
30°C
$244 Vol.
27%
31°C
$171 Vol.
34%
32°C
$64 Vol.
27%
33°C
$59 Vol.
5%
34°C
$20 Vol.
1%
35°C oder höher
$311 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus on the Hong Kong Observatory maximum temperature for September 22 centers on 30–32°C, with market-implied odds of 27.0%, 33.5%, and 26.5% respectively.** Official HKO guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate a mainly cloudy day with sunny intervals, a few showers, and easterly winds strengthening to force 3–4, advecting slightly cooler maritime air from the South China Sea where sea-surface temperatures hover near 29°C. Differentiation among these outcomes hinges on the timing and coverage of convective showers, which can suppress peak insolation, versus breaks of sunshine that allow greater surface heating under light-to-moderate flow. Historical late-September climatology shows mean daily maxima near 30°C, but recent weaker northeast monsoon influence has sustained warmer baselines. Updated high-resolution model runs and the next HKO bulletin will likely tighten the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$1,093Enddatum
22. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus on the Hong Kong Observatory maximum temperature for September 22 centers on 30–32°C, with market-implied odds of 27.0%, 33.5%, and 26.5% respectively.** Official HKO guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate a mainly cloudy day with sunny intervals, a few showers, and easterly winds strengthening to force 3–4, advecting slightly cooler maritime air from the South China Sea where sea-surface temperatures hover near 29°C. Differentiation among these outcomes hinges on the timing and coverage of convective showers, which can suppress peak insolation, versus breaks of sunshine that allow greater surface heating under light-to-moderate flow. Historical late-September climatology shows mean daily maxima near 30°C, but recent weaker northeast monsoon influence has sustained warmer baselines. Updated high-resolution model runs and the next HKO bulletin will likely tighten the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$1,093Enddatum
22. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on the Hong Kong Observatory maximum temperature for September 22 centers on 30–32°C, with market-implied odds of 27.0%, 33.5%, and 26.5% respectively.** Official HKO guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate a mainly cloudy day with sunny intervals, a few showers, and easterly winds strengthening to force 3–4, advecting slightly cooler maritime air from the South China Sea where sea-surface temperatures hover near 29°C. Differentiation among these outcomes hinges on the timing and coverage of convective showers, which can suppress peak insolation, versus breaks of sunshine that allow greater surface heating under light-to-moderate flow. Historical late-September climatology shows mean daily maxima near 30°C, but recent weaker northeast monsoon influence has sustained warmer baselines. Updated high-resolution model runs and the next HKO bulletin will likely tighten the range before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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