Latest short-term model runs from Environment Canada and NOAA ensembles position Toronto’s August 3 maximum near 25–26 °C, aligning with early-August climatology and driving the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. Ensemble spread and modest afternoon mixing under a warm-sector pattern keep 27 °C viable while capping upside risk, as historical analogs show temperatures rarely exceed 28 °C without strong subsidence. Traders are weighting the most recent 12–24 hour guidance and surface observations that will finalize the official high before resolution, reflecting genuine uncertainty in boundary-layer details rather than any single dominant signal.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Toronto am 3. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Toronto am 3. August?
26°C 37%
25°C 27%
27°C 21%
24°C 6%
NEU
NEU
3. Aug. 2026
21°C oder weniger
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
6%
25°C
27%
26°C
37%
27°C
21%
28°C
6%
29°C
4%
30°C
2%
31°C oder höher
<1%
26°C 37%
25°C 27%
27°C 21%
24°C 6%
NEU
NEU
3. Aug. 2026
21°C oder weniger
$207 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$141 Vol.
1%
23°C
$105 Vol.
2%
24°C
$93 Vol.
6%
25°C
$517 Vol.
27%
26°C
$2,756 Vol.
37%
27°C
$129 Vol.
21%
28°C
$100 Vol.
6%
29°C
$105 Vol.
4%
30°C
$117 Vol.
2%
31°C oder höher
$164 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest short-term model runs from Environment Canada and NOAA ensembles position Toronto’s August 3 maximum near 25–26 °C, aligning with early-August climatology and driving the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. Ensemble spread and modest afternoon mixing under a warm-sector pattern keep 27 °C viable while capping upside risk, as historical analogs show temperatures rarely exceed 28 °C without strong subsidence. Traders are weighting the most recent 12–24 hour guidance and surface observations that will finalize the official high before resolution, reflecting genuine uncertainty in boundary-layer details rather than any single dominant signal.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 1, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
Volumen
$4,432Enddatum
3. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 1, 2026, 10:02 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest short-term model runs from Environment Canada and NOAA ensembles position Toronto’s August 3 maximum near 25–26 °C, aligning with early-August climatology and driving the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. Ensemble spread and modest afternoon mixing under a warm-sector pattern keep 27 °C viable while capping upside risk, as historical analogs show temperatures rarely exceed 28 °C without strong subsidence. Traders are weighting the most recent 12–24 hour guidance and surface observations that will finalize the official high before resolution, reflecting genuine uncertainty in boundary-layer details rather than any single dominant signal.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$4,432Enddatum
3. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 1, 2026, 10:02 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest short-term model runs from Environment Canada and NOAA ensembles position Toronto’s August 3 maximum near 25–26 °C, aligning with early-August climatology and driving the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. Ensemble spread and modest afternoon mixing under a warm-sector pattern keep 27 °C viable while capping upside risk, as historical analogs show temperatures rarely exceed 28 °C without strong subsidence. Traders are weighting the most recent 12–24 hour guidance and surface observations that will finalize the official high before resolution, reflecting genuine uncertainty in boundary-layer details rather than any single dominant signal.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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