Trader consensus around 26–28°C for Warsaw’s July 15 maximum reflects the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble guidance, which show a moderate westerly flow advecting Atlantic air masses under partly cloudy skies. Model spreads arise mainly from differences in boundary-layer mixing and afternoon convective cloud development that could cap peak readings near 25–26°C or allow brief clearing to push values toward 28°C. This aligns with climatological normals of 24–26°C for mid-July and follows the late-June heatwave that elevated baseline soil and boundary temperatures. Updated model runs and satellite observations through July 14 will refine the precise thermal maximum ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Warschau am 15. Juli?
Höchste Temperatur in Warschau am 15. Juli?
27°C 37%
28°C 34%
26°C 19%
29°C 8.0%
NEU
NEU
15. Juli 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
4%
26°C
19%
27°C
37%
28°C
34%
29°C
8%
30°C or higher
2%
27°C 37%
28°C 34%
26°C 19%
29°C 8.0%
NEU
NEU
15. Juli 2026
20°C or below
$121 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$126 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$77 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$168 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$199 Vol.
1%
25°C
$672 Vol.
4%
26°C
$818 Vol.
19%
27°C
$420 Vol.
37%
28°C
$475 Vol.
34%
29°C
$1,100 Vol.
8%
30°C or higher
$394 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 26–28°C for Warsaw’s July 15 maximum reflects the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble guidance, which show a moderate westerly flow advecting Atlantic air masses under partly cloudy skies. Model spreads arise mainly from differences in boundary-layer mixing and afternoon convective cloud development that could cap peak readings near 25–26°C or allow brief clearing to push values toward 28°C. This aligns with climatological normals of 24–26°C for mid-July and follows the late-June heatwave that elevated baseline soil and boundary temperatures. Updated model runs and satellite observations through July 14 will refine the precise thermal maximum ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 13, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$4,572Enddatum
15. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 13, 2026, 12:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 26–28°C for Warsaw’s July 15 maximum reflects the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble guidance, which show a moderate westerly flow advecting Atlantic air masses under partly cloudy skies. Model spreads arise mainly from differences in boundary-layer mixing and afternoon convective cloud development that could cap peak readings near 25–26°C or allow brief clearing to push values toward 28°C. This aligns with climatological normals of 24–26°C for mid-July and follows the late-June heatwave that elevated baseline soil and boundary temperatures. Updated model runs and satellite observations through July 14 will refine the precise thermal maximum ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$4,572Enddatum
15. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 13, 2026, 12:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus around 26–28°C for Warsaw’s July 15 maximum reflects the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble guidance, which show a moderate westerly flow advecting Atlantic air masses under partly cloudy skies. Model spreads arise mainly from differences in boundary-layer mixing and afternoon convective cloud development that could cap peak readings near 25–26°C or allow brief clearing to push values toward 28°C. This aligns with climatological normals of 24–26°C for mid-July and follows the late-June heatwave that elevated baseline soil and boundary temperatures. Updated model runs and satellite observations through July 14 will refine the precise thermal maximum ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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