Recent ensemble forecasts from models including ECMWF and CMA position Wuhan's July 8 maximum in the 33–35°C range, supporting the market's emphasis on 34°C as the mode amid a typical early-July subtropical high-pressure ridge. This pattern favors strong insolation but faces moderation risks from monsoon moisture, scattered convection, and variable cloud cover that can suppress peaks by 1–2°C. Climatological baselines show early-July highs averaging near 32–33°C with frequent excursions above 34°C, while model spread and timing of any weak frontal influence sustain the broad probability distribution across outcomes. Updated operational runs in the next 24–48 hours will narrow resolution thresholds tied to official station readings.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Wuhan on July 8?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on July 8?
34°C 33%
35°C 25%
33°C 18%
32°C 12%
NEU
NEU
8. Juli 2026
28°C or below
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
7%
32°C
12%
33°C
18%
34°C
33%
35°C
25%
36°C
8%
37°C
5%
38°C or higher
1%
34°C 33%
35°C 25%
33°C 18%
32°C 12%
NEU
NEU
8. Juli 2026
28°C or below
$25 Vol.
1%
29°C
$90 Vol.
1%
30°C
$32 Vol.
4%
31°C
$53 Vol.
7%
32°C
$0 Vol.
12%
33°C
$20 Vol.
18%
34°C
$44 Vol.
33%
35°C
$9 Vol.
25%
36°C
$10 Vol.
8%
37°C
$0 Vol.
5%
38°C or higher
$71 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from models including ECMWF and CMA position Wuhan's July 8 maximum in the 33–35°C range, supporting the market's emphasis on 34°C as the mode amid a typical early-July subtropical high-pressure ridge. This pattern favors strong insolation but faces moderation risks from monsoon moisture, scattered convection, and variable cloud cover that can suppress peaks by 1–2°C. Climatological baselines show early-July highs averaging near 32–33°C with frequent excursions above 34°C, while model spread and timing of any weak frontal influence sustain the broad probability distribution across outcomes. Updated operational runs in the next 24–48 hours will narrow resolution thresholds tied to official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$354Enddatum
8. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from models including ECMWF and CMA position Wuhan's July 8 maximum in the 33–35°C range, supporting the market's emphasis on 34°C as the mode amid a typical early-July subtropical high-pressure ridge. This pattern favors strong insolation but faces moderation risks from monsoon moisture, scattered convection, and variable cloud cover that can suppress peaks by 1–2°C. Climatological baselines show early-July highs averaging near 32–33°C with frequent excursions above 34°C, while model spread and timing of any weak frontal influence sustain the broad probability distribution across outcomes. Updated operational runs in the next 24–48 hours will narrow resolution thresholds tied to official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$354Enddatum
8. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from models including ECMWF and CMA position Wuhan's July 8 maximum in the 33–35°C range, supporting the market's emphasis on 34°C as the mode amid a typical early-July subtropical high-pressure ridge. This pattern favors strong insolation but faces moderation risks from monsoon moisture, scattered convection, and variable cloud cover that can suppress peaks by 1–2°C. Climatological baselines show early-July highs averaging near 32–33°C with frequent excursions above 34°C, while model spread and timing of any weak frontal influence sustain the broad probability distribution across outcomes. Updated operational runs in the next 24–48 hours will narrow resolution thresholds tied to official station readings.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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