Recent June JOLTS data at 7.359 million, below consensus forecasts, combined with the soft July employment report showing a 23,000 payroll decline and unemployment near 4.1-4.3%, anchor trader expectations for the July reading near 7.3-7.5 million. These outcomes command roughly 54% combined implied probability, reflecting a cooling labor market where vacancies have eased from May’s 7.594 million peak amid steady hires and separations. The narrow spread among leading bins highlights uncertainty over whether the downward trend persists or stabilizes, with upcoming September 1 release and any revisions to prior months serving as key swing factors. Market-implied odds price in this data trajectory without assuming further acceleration in softening.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert7,4 Mio.-7,5 Mio. 20%
7,3 Mio.–7,4 Mio. 20%
7,2 Mio.–7,3 Mio. 15%
7,1 Mio.-7,2 Mio. 14.1%
$25,596 Vol.
$25,596 Vol.
1. Sep. 2026
<7,1 Mio.
12%
7,1 Mio.-7,2 Mio.
14%
7,2 Mio.–7,3 Mio.
15%
7,3 Mio.–7,4 Mio.
20%
7,4 Mio.-7,5 Mio.
20%
7,5 Mio.–7,6 Mio.
5%
7,6 Mio.–7,7 Mio.
14%
7,7 Mio.+
2%
7,4 Mio.-7,5 Mio. 20%
7,3 Mio.–7,4 Mio. 20%
7,2 Mio.–7,3 Mio. 15%
7,1 Mio.-7,2 Mio. 14.1%
$25,596 Vol.
$25,596 Vol.
1. Sep. 2026
<7,1 Mio.
$297 Vol.
12%
7,1 Mio.-7,2 Mio.
$1,416 Vol.
14%
7,2 Mio.–7,3 Mio.
$5,259 Vol.
15%
7,3 Mio.–7,4 Mio.
$10,729 Vol.
20%
7,4 Mio.-7,5 Mio.
$2,835 Vol.
20%
7,5 Mio.–7,6 Mio.
$2,931 Vol.
5%
7,6 Mio.–7,7 Mio.
$446 Vol.
14%
7,7 Mio.+
$1,683 Vol.
2%
This is a market about the seasonally adjusted total number of job openings in the United States in July 2026, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS).
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the seasonally adjusted total number of job openings for the total nonfarm sector in July 2026, as reported in the monthly JOLTS report published by the BLS.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/jlt/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly JOLTS report, which reports job openings in thousands of openings. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Rounding employed in the headline figure will not impact settlement, where a more precise figure is reported.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next JOLTS report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent June JOLTS data at 7.359 million, below consensus forecasts, combined with the soft July employment report showing a 23,000 payroll decline and unemployment near 4.1-4.3%, anchor trader expectations for the July reading near 7.3-7.5 million. These outcomes command roughly 54% combined implied probability, reflecting a cooling labor market where vacancies have eased from May’s 7.594 million peak amid steady hires and separations. The narrow spread among leading bins highlights uncertainty over whether the downward trend persists or stabilizes, with upcoming September 1 release and any revisions to prior months serving as key swing factors. Market-implied odds price in this data trajectory without assuming further acceleration in softening.
This is a market about the seasonally adjusted total number of job openings in the United States in July 2026, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS).
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the seasonally adjusted total number of job openings for the total nonfarm sector in July 2026, as reported in the monthly JOLTS report published by the BLS.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/jlt/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly JOLTS report, which reports job openings in thousands of openings. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Rounding employed in the headline figure will not impact settlement, where a more precise figure is reported.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next JOLTS report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the seasonally adjusted total number of job openings for the total nonfarm sector in July 2026, as reported in the monthly JOLTS report published by the BLS.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/jlt/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly JOLTS report, which reports job openings in thousands of openings. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Rounding employed in the headline figure will not impact settlement, where a more precise figure is reported.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next JOLTS report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 4, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
Volumen
$25,596Enddatum
1. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 4, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the seasonally adjusted total number of job openings in the United States in July 2026, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS).
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the seasonally adjusted total number of job openings for the total nonfarm sector in July 2026, as reported in the monthly JOLTS report published by the BLS.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/jlt/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly JOLTS report, which reports job openings in thousands of openings. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Rounding employed in the headline figure will not impact settlement, where a more precise figure is reported.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next JOLTS report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent June JOLTS data at 7.359 million, below consensus forecasts, combined with the soft July employment report showing a 23,000 payroll decline and unemployment near 4.1-4.3%, anchor trader expectations for the July reading near 7.3-7.5 million. These outcomes command roughly 54% combined implied probability, reflecting a cooling labor market where vacancies have eased from May’s 7.594 million peak amid steady hires and separations. The narrow spread among leading bins highlights uncertainty over whether the downward trend persists or stabilizes, with upcoming September 1 release and any revisions to prior months serving as key swing factors. Market-implied odds price in this data trajectory without assuming further acceleration in softening.
This is a market about the seasonally adjusted total number of job openings in the United States in July 2026, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS).
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the seasonally adjusted total number of job openings for the total nonfarm sector in July 2026, as reported in the monthly JOLTS report published by the BLS.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/jlt/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly JOLTS report, which reports job openings in thousands of openings. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Rounding employed in the headline figure will not impact settlement, where a more precise figure is reported.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next JOLTS report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the seasonally adjusted total number of job openings for the total nonfarm sector in July 2026, as reported in the monthly JOLTS report published by the BLS.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/jlt/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly JOLTS report, which reports job openings in thousands of openings. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Rounding employed in the headline figure will not impact settlement, where a more precise figure is reported.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next JOLTS report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volumen
$25,596Enddatum
1. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 4, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent June JOLTS data at 7.359 million, below consensus forecasts, combined with the soft July employment report showing a 23,000 payroll decline and unemployment near 4.1-4.3%, anchor trader expectations for the July reading near 7.3-7.5 million. These outcomes command roughly 54% combined implied probability, reflecting a cooling labor market where vacancies have eased from May’s 7.594 million peak amid steady hires and separations. The narrow spread among leading bins highlights uncertainty over whether the downward trend persists or stabilizes, with upcoming September 1 release and any revisions to prior months serving as key swing factors. Market-implied odds price in this data trajectory without assuming further acceleration in softening.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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