The closely matched probabilities across turnout ranges for Kentucky's November 3, 2026, Senate general election reflect trader uncertainty in a midterm open-seat contest. With Mitch McConnell retiring, Republican nominee Andy Barr holds a solid lead over Democrat Charles Booker in a race rated safe for the GOP by major forecasters. Primary turnout reached about 25 percent in May, exceeding earlier projections due to interest in the Senate contest, but general election participation typically depends on factors such as national political environment, campaign spending and mobilization, voter enthusiasm gaps, and local conditions like weather. Historical midterm totals provide limited guidance without stronger signals on engagement or external catalysts that could shift participation in either direction before Election Day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertSenatswahl in Kentucky: Wahlbeteiligung
Senatswahl in Kentucky: Wahlbeteiligung
1,4M-1,5M 44%
1,6 Mio.–1,7 Mio. 44%
1,3 Mio.–1,4 Mio. 44%
1,5 Mio.–1,6 Mio. 44%
NEU
NEU
3. Nov. 2026
<1,2 Mio.
42%
1,2 Mio.–1,3 Mio.
42%
1,3 Mio.–1,4 Mio.
44%
1,4M-1,5M
44%
1,5 Mio.–1,6 Mio.
44%
1,6 Mio.–1,7 Mio.
44%
1,7 Mio.-1,8 Mio.
44%
1,8 Mio.+
44%
1,4M-1,5M 44%
1,6 Mio.–1,7 Mio. 44%
1,3 Mio.–1,4 Mio. 44%
1,5 Mio.–1,6 Mio. 44%
NEU
NEU
3. Nov. 2026
<1,2 Mio.
$0 Vol.
42%
1,2 Mio.–1,3 Mio.
$0 Vol.
42%
1,3 Mio.–1,4 Mio.
$0 Vol.
44%
1,4M-1,5M
$0 Vol.
44%
1,5 Mio.–1,6 Mio.
$0 Vol.
44%
1,6 Mio.–1,7 Mio.
$0 Vol.
44%
1,7 Mio.-1,8 Mio.
$0 Vol.
44%
1,8 Mio.+
$0 Vol.
44%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kentucky.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kentucky, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely matched probabilities across turnout ranges for Kentucky's November 3, 2026, Senate general election reflect trader uncertainty in a midterm open-seat contest. With Mitch McConnell retiring, Republican nominee Andy Barr holds a solid lead over Democrat Charles Booker in a race rated safe for the GOP by major forecasters. Primary turnout reached about 25 percent in May, exceeding earlier projections due to interest in the Senate contest, but general election participation typically depends on factors such as national political environment, campaign spending and mobilization, voter enthusiasm gaps, and local conditions like weather. Historical midterm totals provide limited guidance without stronger signals on engagement or external catalysts that could shift participation in either direction before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kentucky.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kentucky, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kentucky, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 18, 2026, 10:19 AM ET
Volumen
$0Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 18, 2026, 10:19 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kentucky.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kentucky, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely matched probabilities across turnout ranges for Kentucky's November 3, 2026, Senate general election reflect trader uncertainty in a midterm open-seat contest. With Mitch McConnell retiring, Republican nominee Andy Barr holds a solid lead over Democrat Charles Booker in a race rated safe for the GOP by major forecasters. Primary turnout reached about 25 percent in May, exceeding earlier projections due to interest in the Senate contest, but general election participation typically depends on factors such as national political environment, campaign spending and mobilization, voter enthusiasm gaps, and local conditions like weather. Historical midterm totals provide limited guidance without stronger signals on engagement or external catalysts that could shift participation in either direction before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kentucky.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kentucky, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kentucky, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$0Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 18, 2026, 10:19 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched probabilities across turnout ranges for Kentucky's November 3, 2026, Senate general election reflect trader uncertainty in a midterm open-seat contest. With Mitch McConnell retiring, Republican nominee Andy Barr holds a solid lead over Democrat Charles Booker in a race rated safe for the GOP by major forecasters. Primary turnout reached about 25 percent in May, exceeding earlier projections due to interest in the Senate contest, but general election participation typically depends on factors such as national political environment, campaign spending and mobilization, voter enthusiasm gaps, and local conditions like weather. Historical midterm totals provide limited guidance without stronger signals on engagement or external catalysts that could shift participation in either direction before Election Day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen