South Carolina’s 2026 U.S. Senate general election on November 3 features Republican nominee Darline Graham facing Democrat Annie Andrews in a solidly Republican state, yet the turnout market shows evenly balanced probabilities across multiple vote-total buckets. Midterm elections without a presidential contest on the ballot typically produce lower participation than presidential years, while the recent death of longtime Senator Lindsey Graham, the compressed special primary process, and the August 25 Republican runoff introduce uncertainty over base mobilization and crossover interest. Voter rolls, early voting access, campaign spending on turnout operations, and broader national political conditions remain key variables that could push totals higher or suppress them depending on enthusiasm levels among core Republican voters and Democratic efforts to expand the electorate.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertSenatswahl in South Carolina: Wahlbeteiligung
1,8M-2M 45%
<1,4 Mio. 44%
1,4 Mio.-1,6 Mio. 44%
2,2 Mio.+ 44%
<1,4 Mio.
44%
1,4 Mio.-1,6 Mio.
44%
1,6M-1,8M
43%
1,8M-2M
45%
2M-2,2M
43%
2,2 Mio.+
44%
1,8M-2M 45%
<1,4 Mio. 44%
1,4 Mio.-1,6 Mio. 44%
2,2 Mio.+ 44%
<1,4 Mio.
44%
1,4 Mio.-1,6 Mio.
44%
1,6M-1,8M
43%
1,8M-2M
45%
2M-2,2M
43%
2,2 Mio.+
44%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Carolina, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 18, 2026, 10:22 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Carolina, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...South Carolina’s 2026 U.S. Senate general election on November 3 features Republican nominee Darline Graham facing Democrat Annie Andrews in a solidly Republican state, yet the turnout market shows evenly balanced probabilities across multiple vote-total buckets. Midterm elections without a presidential contest on the ballot typically produce lower participation than presidential years, while the recent death of longtime Senator Lindsey Graham, the compressed special primary process, and the August 25 Republican runoff introduce uncertainty over base mobilization and crossover interest. Voter rolls, early voting access, campaign spending on turnout operations, and broader national political conditions remain key variables that could push totals higher or suppress them depending on enthusiasm levels among core Republican voters and Democratic efforts to expand the electorate.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



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