President Lee Jae-myung holds office until 2030 and benefits from constitutional immunity under Article 84, shielding him from most criminal prosecution while serving except in cases of insurrection or treason. Multiple pending matters—including the election law violation remanded by the Supreme Court for a guilty finding, Daejang-dong development allegations, and Ssangbangwool remittances—remain suspended or delayed, with proceedings expected to resume only after his term. Recent actions, such as police dismissal of related complaints for lack of evidence and ruling-party efforts to examine alleged indictment fabrication, have further reduced near-term enforcement pressure. These institutional protections and procedural pauses underpin trader consensus that an arrest before 2027 is improbable.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJa
7% Chance
$539,549 Vol.
$539,549 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
Ja
7% Chance
$539,549 Vol.
$539,549 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Lee Jae-myung holds office until 2030 and benefits from constitutional immunity under Article 84, shielding him from most criminal prosecution while serving except in cases of insurrection or treason. Multiple pending matters—including the election law violation remanded by the Supreme Court for a guilty finding, Daejang-dong development allegations, and Ssangbangwool remittances—remain suspended or delayed, with proceedings expected to resume only after his term. Recent actions, such as police dismissal of related complaints for lack of evidence and ruling-party efforts to examine alleged indictment fabrication, have further reduced near-term enforcement pressure. These institutional protections and procedural pauses underpin trader consensus that an arrest before 2027 is improbable.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ET
Volumen
$539,549Enddatum
1. Jan. 2027Markt eröffnet
Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ETAbwickler
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Lee Jae-myung holds office until 2030 and benefits from constitutional immunity under Article 84, shielding him from most criminal prosecution while serving except in cases of insurrection or treason. Multiple pending matters—including the election law violation remanded by the Supreme Court for a guilty finding, Daejang-dong development allegations, and Ssangbangwool remittances—remain suspended or delayed, with proceedings expected to resume only after his term. Recent actions, such as police dismissal of related complaints for lack of evidence and ruling-party efforts to examine alleged indictment fabrication, have further reduced near-term enforcement pressure. These institutional protections and procedural pauses underpin trader consensus that an arrest before 2027 is improbable.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$539,549Enddatum
1. Jan. 2027Markt eröffnet
Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ETAbwickler
0x65070BE91...President Lee Jae-myung holds office until 2030 and benefits from constitutional immunity under Article 84, shielding him from most criminal prosecution while serving except in cases of insurrection or treason. Multiple pending matters—including the election law violation remanded by the Supreme Court for a guilty finding, Daejang-dong development allegations, and Ssangbangwool remittances—remain suspended or delayed, with proceedings expected to resume only after his term. Recent actions, such as police dismissal of related complaints for lack of evidence and ruling-party efforts to examine alleged indictment fabrication, have further reduced near-term enforcement pressure. These institutional protections and procedural pauses underpin trader consensus that an arrest before 2027 is improbable.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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