President Lee Jae-myung’s Democratic Party of Korea holds a commanding National Assembly majority, making any impeachment motion require a two-thirds supermajority that the opposition People Power Party cannot muster without cross-party defections. Presidential immunity continues to pause related corruption proceedings from his pre-presidency period, while February 2026 court confirmation of his predecessor’s insurrection conviction has reinforced the legitimacy of the 2025 transition. With no impeachment resolution advanced in the past year and June 2026 local elections approaching as the next major test of governing stability, traders assign the “No” outcome a 90.8% implied probability, viewing procedural thresholds and the absence of fresh catalysts as decisive barriers through 2027.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJa
NEU
NEU
31. Dez. 2026
Ja
NEU
NEU
31. Dez. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.President Lee Jae-myung’s Democratic Party of Korea holds a commanding National Assembly majority, making any impeachment motion require a two-thirds supermajority that the opposition People Power Party cannot muster without cross-party defections. Presidential immunity continues to pause related corruption proceedings from his pre-presidency period, while February 2026 court confirmation of his predecessor’s insurrection conviction has reinforced the legitimacy of the 2025 transition. With no impeachment resolution advanced in the past year and June 2026 local elections approaching as the next major test of governing stability, traders assign the “No” outcome a 90.8% implied probability, viewing procedural thresholds and the absence of fresh catalysts as decisive barriers through 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Markt eröffnet: Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
Volumen
$9,155Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.President Lee Jae-myung’s Democratic Party of Korea holds a commanding National Assembly majority, making any impeachment motion require a two-thirds supermajority that the opposition People Power Party cannot muster without cross-party defections. Presidential immunity continues to pause related corruption proceedings from his pre-presidency period, while February 2026 court confirmation of his predecessor’s insurrection conviction has reinforced the legitimacy of the 2025 transition. With no impeachment resolution advanced in the past year and June 2026 local elections approaching as the next major test of governing stability, traders assign the “No” outcome a 90.8% implied probability, viewing procedural thresholds and the absence of fresh catalysts as decisive barriers through 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Volumen
$9,155Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Lee Jae-myung’s Democratic Party of Korea holds a commanding National Assembly majority, making any impeachment motion require a two-thirds supermajority that the opposition People Power Party cannot muster without cross-party defections. Presidential immunity continues to pause related corruption proceedings from his pre-presidency period, while February 2026 court confirmation of his predecessor’s insurrection conviction has reinforced the legitimacy of the 2025 transition. With no impeachment resolution advanced in the past year and June 2026 local elections approaching as the next major test of governing stability, traders assign the “No” outcome a 90.8% implied probability, viewing procedural thresholds and the absence of fresh catalysts as decisive barriers through 2027.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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