President Lee Jae-myung, who took office in June 2025 following the prior administration’s collapse, faces suspended pre-presidency trials on charges such as bribery and misuse of funds, but no new arrest warrants or indictments have advanced since then. His Democratic Party’s legislative majority has enacted criminal procedure reforms limiting prosecutors’ direct investigative authority, effective October 2026, alongside a review committee examining past prosecutorial practices in his cases. Recent actions, including dropping a minor election-law complaint and appointing special counsel for unrelated probes, reflect institutional shifts favoring continuity for the incumbent rather than immediate enforcement. These factors, combined with the structural barriers of presidential office, underpin traders’ 91.8% consensus against arrest before 2027.