Recent forecasts from sources including the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and European models indicate a daily minimum near 13–14°C for Buenos Aires on October 14 under persistent southeast flow, cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit nighttime radiative cooling. This aligns closely with the October climatological average low of 13.3–13.4°C, though recent cool anomalies and a lingering sudestada have kept surface temperatures below seasonal norms. Trader balance between sub-9°C and 18°C+ outcomes reflects model spread in boundary-layer moisture and frontal timing, with even odds on extremes underscoring uncertainty in how much additional cooling southeasterly advection or clearer breaks could produce. Updated runs from SMN and global ensembles over the next 48 hours will likely narrow resolution criteria around the 12–15°C range.
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