Forecast models from the National Weather Service and major ensembles indicate Miami's overnight low on August 20 will likely fall in the upper 70s to low 80s under typical late-summer conditions of high humidity, light winds, and scattered cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Trader consensus centers on 80–81°F as the most probable outcome, reflecting the August climatological average near 80°F and recent nights in the same range amid ongoing tropical moisture. Differentiation among the tightly bunched leading bins hinges on variables such as exact timing of any convective activity, boundary-layer moisture depth, and urban heat island effects versus sea-breeze influence, with lower readings requiring clearer skies and drier air than currently projected. New model runs and official forecasts issued overnight will provide the next key updates for resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Miami am 20. August?
80-81°F 47%
78-79°F 37%
76-77°F 13%
82-83°F 6%
71°F oder darunter
<1%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
13%
78-79°F
37%
80-81°F
47%
82-83°F
6%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F oder höher
<1%
80-81°F 47%
78-79°F 37%
76-77°F 13%
82-83°F 6%
71°F oder darunter
<1%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
13%
78-79°F
37%
80-81°F
47%
82-83°F
6%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F oder höher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 18, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the National Weather Service and major ensembles indicate Miami's overnight low on August 20 will likely fall in the upper 70s to low 80s under typical late-summer conditions of high humidity, light winds, and scattered cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Trader consensus centers on 80–81°F as the most probable outcome, reflecting the August climatological average near 80°F and recent nights in the same range amid ongoing tropical moisture. Differentiation among the tightly bunched leading bins hinges on variables such as exact timing of any convective activity, boundary-layer moisture depth, and urban heat island effects versus sea-breeze influence, with lower readings requiring clearer skies and drier air than currently projected. New model runs and official forecasts issued overnight will provide the next key updates for resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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