Current forecast guidance for Shanghai on July 27 shows overnight lows centered near 27–29 °C, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Subtropical summer conditions, elevated humidity, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies are the dominant factors preventing sharper drops, while any increase in cloud cover or localized showers could nudge the minimum toward 26 °C or below. Recent model consensus from extended July outlooks and short-range guidance supports this narrow range, consistent with climatological baselines where July lows average 25–28 °C. Traders are monitoring the next ECMWF and regional model runs for refinements in boundary-layer moisture and wind patterns ahead of the 48-hour window.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Shanghai am 27. Juli?
28°C 35%
27°C 23%
29°C 14%
33°C oder höher 14%
23°C oder weniger
4%
24°C
8%
25°C
12%
26°C
13%
27°C
23%
28°C
35%
29°C
14%
30°C
8%
31°C
8%
32°C
6%
33°C oder höher
14%
28°C 35%
27°C 23%
29°C 14%
33°C oder höher 14%
23°C oder weniger
4%
24°C
8%
25°C
12%
26°C
13%
27°C
23%
28°C
35%
29°C
14%
30°C
8%
31°C
8%
32°C
6%
33°C oder höher
14%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast guidance for Shanghai on July 27 shows overnight lows centered near 27–29 °C, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Subtropical summer conditions, elevated humidity, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies are the dominant factors preventing sharper drops, while any increase in cloud cover or localized showers could nudge the minimum toward 26 °C or below. Recent model consensus from extended July outlooks and short-range guidance supports this narrow range, consistent with climatological baselines where July lows average 25–28 °C. Traders are monitoring the next ECMWF and regional model runs for refinements in boundary-layer moisture and wind patterns ahead of the 48-hour window.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



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