Prime Minister Narendra Modi's Bharatiya Janata Party secured a landmark victory in West Bengal state elections on May 4, 2026, capturing a key opposition stronghold and bolstering the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) coalition's dominance midway through his third Lok Sabha term, which extends to 2029. This electoral success, alongside gains in other states, has reinforced political stability and trader consensus against an early exit, reflected in the 89.2% implied probability for "No." Recent austerity appeals amid West Asia-fueled oil price spikes and his ongoing five-nation tour starting in the UAE underscore active leadership without signs of resignation pressures, health concerns, or snap election triggers, though economic strains and opposition critiques persist as potential long-term risks.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertModi bis zum 31. Dezember 2026 verfügbar?
Modi bis zum 31. Dezember 2026 verfügbar?
Ja
$32,137 Vol.
$32,137 Vol.
Ja
$32,137 Vol.
$32,137 Vol.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Prime Minister Narendra Modi's Bharatiya Janata Party secured a landmark victory in West Bengal state elections on May 4, 2026, capturing a key opposition stronghold and bolstering the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) coalition's dominance midway through his third Lok Sabha term, which extends to 2029. This electoral success, alongside gains in other states, has reinforced political stability and trader consensus against an early exit, reflected in the 89.2% implied probability for "No." Recent austerity appeals amid West Asia-fueled oil price spikes and his ongoing five-nation tour starting in the UAE underscore active leadership without signs of resignation pressures, health concerns, or snap election triggers, though economic strains and opposition critiques persist as potential long-term risks.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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