Chris Pappas secured the Democratic nomination in New Hampshire’s open Senate race on September 8 with 65 percent of the primary vote, positioning him against former Senator John Sununu, who won the Republican primary with roughly 68 percent. The contest to succeed retiring Senator Jeanne Shaheen features a state that has favored Democrats in recent federal elections, bolstered by Pappas’s congressional record and name recognition in the First District. Recent polling aggregates show Pappas ahead by low single digits, though some surveys indicate a tighter margin amid heavy Republican outside spending and Sununu’s Trump endorsement. Traders appear to weigh these structural advantages and historical voting patterns in assigning the current implied probabilities for the November 3 general election.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertGewinner der Senatswahl in New Hampshire
$222,140 Vol.
$222,140 Vol.

Chris Pappas (D)
83%

John E. Sununu (R)
16%
$222,140 Vol.
$222,140 Vol.

Chris Pappas (D)
83%

John E. Sununu (R)
16%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Markt eröffnet: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Abwickler
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Abwickler
0x2F5e3684c...Chris Pappas secured the Democratic nomination in New Hampshire’s open Senate race on September 8 with 65 percent of the primary vote, positioning him against former Senator John Sununu, who won the Republican primary with roughly 68 percent. The contest to succeed retiring Senator Jeanne Shaheen features a state that has favored Democrats in recent federal elections, bolstered by Pappas’s congressional record and name recognition in the First District. Recent polling aggregates show Pappas ahead by low single digits, though some surveys indicate a tighter margin amid heavy Republican outside spending and Sununu’s Trump endorsement. Traders appear to weigh these structural advantages and historical voting patterns in assigning the current implied probabilities for the November 3 general election.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



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