Nicolás Maduro has remained in U.S. federal custody at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn since his January 3, 2026, capture by U.S. forces during a military operation in Caracas, alongside his wife Cilia Flores. The pair faces narco-terrorism and drug trafficking charges in the Southern District of New York, entered not-guilty pleas, and have not sought bail. Pretrial proceedings continue, with a motions hearing scheduled for November 2026 and trial set for June 2027; defense challenges to the capture's legality and jurisdiction remain active. Venezuelan officials continue to demand release through diplomatic channels, while U.S. authorities have shown no signs of extradition, deportation, or negotiated transfer. Trader focus centers on whether plea negotiations, appeals, health developments, or shifts in U.S.-Venezuela relations could alter detention status before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$2,687,688 Vol.
31. Jan. 2026
31. Dezember
7%
$2,687,688 Vol.
31. Dezember
$292,239 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro has remained in U.S. federal custody at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn since his January 3, 2026, capture by U.S. forces during a military operation in Caracas, alongside his wife Cilia Flores. The pair faces narco-terrorism and drug trafficking charges in the Southern District of New York, entered not-guilty pleas, and have not sought bail. Pretrial proceedings continue, with a motions hearing scheduled for November 2026 and trial set for June 2027; defense challenges to the capture's legality and jurisdiction remain active. Venezuelan officials continue to demand release through diplomatic channels, while U.S. authorities have shown no signs of extradition, deportation, or negotiated transfer. Trader focus centers on whether plea negotiations, appeals, health developments, or shifts in U.S.-Venezuela relations could alter detention status before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ET
Volumen
$2,687,688Enddatum
31. Jan. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro has remained in U.S. federal custody at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn since his January 3, 2026, capture by U.S. forces during a military operation in Caracas, alongside his wife Cilia Flores. The pair faces narco-terrorism and drug trafficking charges in the Southern District of New York, entered not-guilty pleas, and have not sought bail. Pretrial proceedings continue, with a motions hearing scheduled for November 2026 and trial set for June 2027; defense challenges to the capture's legality and jurisdiction remain active. Venezuelan officials continue to demand release through diplomatic channels, while U.S. authorities have shown no signs of extradition, deportation, or negotiated transfer. Trader focus centers on whether plea negotiations, appeals, health developments, or shifts in U.S.-Venezuela relations could alter detention status before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$2,687,688Enddatum
31. Jan. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Nicolás Maduro has remained in U.S. federal custody at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn since his January 3, 2026, capture by U.S. forces during a military operation in Caracas, alongside his wife Cilia Flores. The pair faces narco-terrorism and drug trafficking charges in the Southern District of New York, entered not-guilty pleas, and have not sought bail. Pretrial proceedings continue, with a motions hearing scheduled for November 2026 and trial set for June 2027; defense challenges to the capture's legality and jurisdiction remain active. Venezuelan officials continue to demand release through diplomatic channels, while U.S. authorities have shown no signs of extradition, deportation, or negotiated transfer. Trader focus centers on whether plea negotiations, appeals, health developments, or shifts in U.S.-Venezuela relations could alter detention status before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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