Maduro faces a June 2027 trial in the Southern District of New York on four felony counts tied to narco-terrorism and cocaine importation conspiracies, following his January 2026 capture in a U.S. military operation and not-guilty pleas. Traders assign "No" a 71% probability because the case remains in an extended pretrial phase, with defense filings expected in September 2026 and immunity arguments scheduled for November hearings that could lead to dismissal or narrowing of charges. Procedural challenges regarding sovereign immunity, the circumstances of his removal from Venezuela, and potential plea negotiations or executive policy shifts create substantial uncertainty around conviction on every count before the distant trial date.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJa
29% Chance
$128,368 Vol.
$128,368 Vol.
31. Dez. 2027
Ja
29% Chance
$128,368 Vol.
$128,368 Vol.
31. Dez. 2027
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Maduro faces a June 2027 trial in the Southern District of New York on four felony counts tied to narco-terrorism and cocaine importation conspiracies, following his January 2026 capture in a U.S. military operation and not-guilty pleas. Traders assign "No" a 71% probability because the case remains in an extended pretrial phase, with defense filings expected in September 2026 and immunity arguments scheduled for November hearings that could lead to dismissal or narrowing of charges. Procedural challenges regarding sovereign immunity, the circumstances of his removal from Venezuela, and potential plea negotiations or executive policy shifts create substantial uncertainty around conviction on every count before the distant trial date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ET
Volumen
$128,368Enddatum
31. Dez. 2027Markt eröffnet
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Maduro faces a June 2027 trial in the Southern District of New York on four felony counts tied to narco-terrorism and cocaine importation conspiracies, following his January 2026 capture in a U.S. military operation and not-guilty pleas. Traders assign "No" a 71% probability because the case remains in an extended pretrial phase, with defense filings expected in September 2026 and immunity arguments scheduled for November hearings that could lead to dismissal or narrowing of charges. Procedural challenges regarding sovereign immunity, the circumstances of his removal from Venezuela, and potential plea negotiations or executive policy shifts create substantial uncertainty around conviction on every count before the distant trial date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$128,368Enddatum
31. Dez. 2027Markt eröffnet
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Maduro faces a June 2027 trial in the Southern District of New York on four felony counts tied to narco-terrorism and cocaine importation conspiracies, following his January 2026 capture in a U.S. military operation and not-guilty pleas. Traders assign "No" a 71% probability because the case remains in an extended pretrial phase, with defense filings expected in September 2026 and immunity arguments scheduled for November hearings that could lead to dismissal or narrowing of charges. Procedural challenges regarding sovereign immunity, the circumstances of his removal from Venezuela, and potential plea negotiations or executive policy shifts create substantial uncertainty around conviction on every count before the distant trial date.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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