Skip to main content
icon for Wer wird vor 2027 verhaftet?
Politik·James Comey

Wer wird vor 2027 verhaftet?

icon for Wer wird vor 2027 verhaftet?
Politik·James Comey

Wer wird vor 2027 verhaftet?

$360,243 Vol.

Polymarket

$360,243 Vol.

Polymarket

Anthony Fauci

$131,231 Vol.

12%

John Brennan

$18,168 Vol.

29%

José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero

$21,642 Vol.

23%

Adam Schiff

$16,394 Vol.

3%

Barack Obama

$28,484 Vol.

1%

James Comey

$9,602 Vol.

6%

Mahmoud Khalil

$1,278 Vol.

27%

James Clapper

$6,706 Vol.

14%

Letitia James

$2,821 Vol.

13%

Hillary Clinton

$25,009 Vol.

3%

Bill Clinton

$2,008 Vol.

3%

Loretta Lynch

$2,376 Vol.

11%

Susan Rice

$304 Vol.

9%

Candace Owens

$263 Vol.

6%

Gavin Newsom

$37,141 Vol.

3%

Benjamin Netanjahu

$1,789 Vol.

5%

John Kerry

$346 Vol.

3%

Pam Bondi

$1,998 Vol.

4%

Tom Homan

$39,428 Vol.

11%

Kash Patel

$530 Vol.

3%

Brandon Johnson

$3,174 Vol.

8%

Lisa Cook

$3,218 Vol.

10%

Lee Jun-seok

$794 Vol.

11%

Joe Biden

$5,538 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus assigns elevated implied probabilities to figures such as former FBI Director James Comey and CIA Director John Brennan amid active grand jury proceedings and DOJ scrutiny tied to prior official conduct. Recent developments include renewed efforts to secure indictments against Comey, alongside investigations involving other former officials, which have supported positioning in related sub-markets. Lower odds for individuals like Anthony Fauci, Barack Obama, and Benjamin Netanyahu reflect the absence of confirmed charges or formal proceedings within the resolution window ending December 31, 2026. Scheduled congressional oversight and potential executive actions through late 2026 remain key variables that could shift probabilities if new indictments or plea developments materialize.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring

The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$360,243
Markt eröffnet
Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus assigns elevated implied probabilities to figures such as former FBI Director James Comey and CIA Director John Brennan amid active grand jury proceedings and DOJ scrutiny tied to prior official conduct. Recent developments include renewed efforts to secure indictments against Comey, alongside investigations involving other former officials, which have supported positioning in related sub-markets. Lower odds for individuals like Anthony Fauci, Barack Obama, and Benjamin Netanyahu reflect the absence of confirmed charges or formal proceedings within the resolution window ending December 31, 2026. Scheduled congressional oversight and potential executive actions through late 2026 remain key variables that could shift probabilities if new indictments or plea developments materialize.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring

The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$360,243
Markt eröffnet
Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Verwandte

icon for Wird Obama vor 2027 verhaftet?

Wird Obama vor 2027 verhaftet?

3%
Ja
icon for Wird José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero bis zum 31. Dezember 2026 verhaftet werden?

Wird José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero bis zum 31. Dezember 2026 verhaftet werden?

22%
Ja
icon for Lee Jae-myung vor 2027 verhaftet?

Lee Jae-myung vor 2027 verhaftet?

9%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Wer wird vor 2027 verhaftet?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 24 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „John Brennan" mit 28%, gefolgt von „Mahmoud Khalil" mit 27%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 28¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 28% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Wer wird vor 2027 verhaftet?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $360.2K generiert, seit der Markt am Apr 30, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Wer wird vor 2027 verhaftet?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 24 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Wer wird vor 2027 verhaftet?" ist „John Brennan" mit 28%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 28% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Mahmoud Khalil" mit 27%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Wer wird vor 2027 verhaftet?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.