Recent polling for Sweden’s September 13 parliamentary election shows Vänsterpartiet hovering near the 7 percent threshold, producing the market’s narrow balance. SCB’s May survey recorded 8.6 percent support, while Novus and Indikator readings in June and July placed the party at 7.8 percent; the most recent Demoskop poll from late July to mid-August dropped to 6.5 percent. These fluctuations reflect competition within the centre-left bloc, modest gains by the Social Democrats, and stable but limited backing for the Left Party’s core issues. Traders weigh the risk of late-campaign shifts in turnout or voter migration against the historical precedent that small parties often stabilize or decline in final weeks. Scheduled leader debates and any further August polling releases remain the clearest near-term catalysts.