Elon Musk’s tweet volume for August 7–14 sits in a tight cluster around 180–239, with the top three buckets each under 18% implied probability, reflecting traders’ assessment of his typical weekly output absent a major catalyst. Historical patterns show Musk averaging 25–35 posts daily during routine periods, modulated by product updates, regulatory developments, or viral moments, yet the narrow spread signals limited conviction on any single range. Key swing factors include potential SpaceX launch commentary, Tesla earnings-related chatter, or political news spikes that could push totals higher, while a quiet stretch might keep counts in the lower 200s. The market’s even distribution underscores the inherent unpredictability of his real-time posting habits.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert200-219 18%
180-199 17%
220-239 16%
160-179 14%
$140,785 Vol.
$140,785 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
1%
120-139
3%
140-159
8%
160-179
14%
180-199
17%
200-219
18%
220-239
16%
240-259
11%
260-279
9%
280-299
4%
300-319
2%
320-339
1%
340-359
1%
360-379
1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
200-219 18%
180-199 17%
220-239 16%
160-179 14%
$140,785 Vol.
$140,785 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
1%
120-139
3%
140-159
8%
160-179
14%
180-199
17%
200-219
18%
220-239
16%
240-259
11%
260-279
9%
280-299
4%
300-319
2%
320-339
1%
340-359
1%
360-379
1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s tweet volume for August 7–14 sits in a tight cluster around 180–239, with the top three buckets each under 18% implied probability, reflecting traders’ assessment of his typical weekly output absent a major catalyst. Historical patterns show Musk averaging 25–35 posts daily during routine periods, modulated by product updates, regulatory developments, or viral moments, yet the narrow spread signals limited conviction on any single range. Key swing factors include potential SpaceX launch commentary, Tesla earnings-related chatter, or political news spikes that could push totals higher, while a quiet stretch might keep counts in the lower 200s. The market’s even distribution underscores the inherent unpredictability of his real-time posting habits.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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