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icon for Oscars 2027: Bester Film

Oscars 2027: Bester Film

icon for Oscars 2027: Bester Film

Oscars 2027: Bester Film

Die Odyssee 50%

Dune: Teil Drei 16%

La Bola Negra 12%

Wild Horse Nine 8%

Polymarket

$168,972 Vol.

Die Odyssee 50%

Dune: Teil Drei 16%

La Bola Negra 12%

Wild Horse Nine 8%

Polymarket

$168,972 Vol.

Die Odyssee

$117,145 Vol.

50%

Dune: Teil Drei

$14,379 Vol.

16%

La Bola Negra

$2,059 Vol.

12%

Wild Horse Nine

$6,454 Vol.

8%

The Debut

$4,335 Vol.

6%

Fjord

$3,726 Vol.

6%

Digger

$5,707 Vol.

5%

Project Hail Mary

$2,408 Vol.

2%

The Invite

$590 Vol.

1%

Disclosure Day

$624 Vol.

<1%

The Adventures of Cliff Booth

$597 Vol.

<1%

Tony

$2,757 Vol.

<1%

Avengers: Doomsday

$729 Vol.

<1%

The Drama

$564 Vol.

<1%

Behemoth!

$2,644 Vol.

<1%

The Social Reckoning

$572 Vol.

<1%

Vaterland

$559 Vol.

<1%

All of a Sudden

$578 Vol.

<1%

Michael

$726 Vol.

<1%

Clarissa

$564 Vol.

<1%

Josephine

$675 Vol.

<1%

Saturn Return

$579 Vol.

<1%

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely matched 50% implied probabilities across leading contenders for the 2027 Oscars Best Picture reflect the early September 2026 stage of the cycle, when most eligible 2026 releases remain unreleased or unscreened. Trader sentiment stays diffuse because historical patterns show frontrunners typically emerge from fall festival premieres, guild nominations, and year-end box office results rather than summer tracking. Key differentiators include critical consensus on review aggregators, streaming or theatrical performance metrics, and precursor momentum from groups like the PGA or DGA. Upcoming catalysts such as late-2026 debuts from auteurs and blockbusters like Dune: Part Three will likely sharpen odds as concrete data arrives.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.

If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$168,972
Enddatum
14. März 2027
Markt eröffnet
Jul 27, 2026, 11:03 PM ET
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely matched 50% implied probabilities across leading contenders for the 2027 Oscars Best Picture reflect the early September 2026 stage of the cycle, when most eligible 2026 releases remain unreleased or unscreened. Trader sentiment stays diffuse because historical patterns show frontrunners typically emerge from fall festival premieres, guild nominations, and year-end box office results rather than summer tracking. Key differentiators include critical consensus on review aggregators, streaming or theatrical performance metrics, and precursor momentum from groups like the PGA or DGA. Upcoming catalysts such as late-2026 debuts from auteurs and blockbusters like Dune: Part Three will likely sharpen odds as concrete data arrives.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.

If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$168,972
Enddatum
14. März 2027
Markt eröffnet
Jul 27, 2026, 11:03 PM ET

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Oscars 2027: Bester Film" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 22 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Die Odyssee" mit 50%, gefolgt von „Dune: Teil Drei" mit 16%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 50¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 50% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Oscars 2027: Bester Film" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $169K generiert, seit der Markt am Jul 27, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Oscars 2027: Bester Film" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 22 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Oscars 2027: Bester Film" ist „Die Odyssee" mit 50%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 50% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Dune: Teil Drei" mit 16%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Oscars 2027: Bester Film" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.