David Brock Smith's position as a sitting Oregon state senator since 2023, following service in the state House, has driven his strong lead in the Republican primary for U.S. Senate, reflecting traders' assessment of his legislative experience and party establishment ties ahead of the May 19 vote. Jo Rae Perkins, the Republican nominee in 2020 and 2022, holds the main alternative share through name familiarity among longtime supporters, though recent reporting shows limited fundraising and organizational momentum compared to Smith. The remaining candidates trail far behind, with minimal public profile or resources shaping the low probabilities. No major late developments have altered the field in recent days, leaving the contest centered on these established profiles as ballots reach voters.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertDavid Brock Smith 79.9%
Jo Rae Perkins 19%
Russell McAlmond 1.4%
Deborah C. Brown <1%
$95,650 Vol.
$95,650 Vol.
David Brock Smith
80%
Jo Rae Perkins
19%
Russell McAlmond
1%
Deborah C. Brown
1%
Joe Johnson
<1%
Tim Skelton
<1%
David Burch
<1%
Douglas T. Muck Jr.
<1%
Brent Barker
<1%
David Brock Smith 79.9%
Jo Rae Perkins 19%
Russell McAlmond 1.4%
Deborah C. Brown <1%
$95,650 Vol.
$95,650 Vol.
David Brock Smith
80%
Jo Rae Perkins
19%
Russell McAlmond
1%
Deborah C. Brown
1%
Joe Johnson
<1%
Tim Skelton
<1%
David Burch
<1%
Douglas T. Muck Jr.
<1%
Brent Barker
<1%
If no 2026 Oregon Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 15, 2025, 8:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Oregon Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...David Brock Smith's position as a sitting Oregon state senator since 2023, following service in the state House, has driven his strong lead in the Republican primary for U.S. Senate, reflecting traders' assessment of his legislative experience and party establishment ties ahead of the May 19 vote. Jo Rae Perkins, the Republican nominee in 2020 and 2022, holds the main alternative share through name familiarity among longtime supporters, though recent reporting shows limited fundraising and organizational momentum compared to Smith. The remaining candidates trail far behind, with minimal public profile or resources shaping the low probabilities. No major late developments have altered the field in recent days, leaving the contest centered on these established profiles as ballots reach voters.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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