State Sen. David Brock Smith leads the May 19 Republican primary for Oregon’s U.S. Senate nomination, driven by his current state Senate tenure, prior House service, and recent endorsements from the Taxpayers Association of Oregon along with conservative officials for his record on tax measures, wildfire policy, and rural issues. Traders assign him the highest probability, reflecting his fundraising edge—nearly $24,000 cash on hand versus far less for rivals—and broader party establishment support. Jo Rae Perkins, the 2020 and 2022 GOP nominee, retains a secondary position through statewide name recognition in a fragmented field, though her lower fundraising and prior general-election defeats limit momentum. With ballots already mailed and no public polling available, the contest hinges on primary turnout and last-minute party consolidation ahead of the November matchup against incumbent Sen. Jeff Merkley.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertDavid Brock Smith 76.4%
Jo Rae Perkins 18%
Russell McAlmond <1%
Deborah C. Brown <1%
$96,374 Vol.
$96,374 Vol.
David Brock Smith
76%
Jo Rae Perkins
18%
Russell McAlmond
1%
Deborah C. Brown
<1%
Joe Johnson
<1%
Tim Skelton
<1%
David Burch
<1%
Brent Barker
<1%
Douglas T. Muck Jr.
<1%
David Brock Smith 76.4%
Jo Rae Perkins 18%
Russell McAlmond <1%
Deborah C. Brown <1%
$96,374 Vol.
$96,374 Vol.
David Brock Smith
76%
Jo Rae Perkins
18%
Russell McAlmond
1%
Deborah C. Brown
<1%
Joe Johnson
<1%
Tim Skelton
<1%
David Burch
<1%
Brent Barker
<1%
Douglas T. Muck Jr.
<1%
If no 2026 Oregon Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 15, 2025, 8:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Oregon Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...State Sen. David Brock Smith leads the May 19 Republican primary for Oregon’s U.S. Senate nomination, driven by his current state Senate tenure, prior House service, and recent endorsements from the Taxpayers Association of Oregon along with conservative officials for his record on tax measures, wildfire policy, and rural issues. Traders assign him the highest probability, reflecting his fundraising edge—nearly $24,000 cash on hand versus far less for rivals—and broader party establishment support. Jo Rae Perkins, the 2020 and 2022 GOP nominee, retains a secondary position through statewide name recognition in a fragmented field, though her lower fundraising and prior general-election defeats limit momentum. With ballots already mailed and no public polling available, the contest hinges on primary turnout and last-minute party consolidation ahead of the November matchup against incumbent Sen. Jeff Merkley.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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