Jon Bonck holds a commanding lead in the TX-38 Republican primary runoff against Shelly deZevallos, scheduled for May 26, following his first-place finish with 48% in the March 3 primary amid an open seat vacated by Rep. Wesley Hunt's Senate bid. Trader consensus at 94.6% reflects Bonck's Trump endorsement, backing from Club for Growth—which released an internal May 7 poll showing him at 47% to deZevallos's 16% with 37% undecided—plus support from House GOP leadership and Rep. Morgan Luttrell. Elevated odds on others like Barrett McNabb signal minor write-in speculation, but Bonck's momentum in this GOP stronghold dominates. A late deZevallos surge, scandal, or turnout collapse could challenge, though barriers remain high.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJon Bonck 94.4%
Barrett McNabb 3.1%
Larry Rubin 2.9%
Shelly deZevallos 2.5%
$38,870 Vol.
$38,870 Vol.
Jon Bonck
94%
Barrett McNabb
3%
Larry Rubin
3%
Shelly deZevallos
3%
Jennifer Sundt
1%
Michael Pratt
1%
Carmen Montiel
1%
Craig Goralski
1%
Jeff Yuna
<1%
Avery Ayers
<1%
Jon Bonck 94.4%
Barrett McNabb 3.1%
Larry Rubin 2.9%
Shelly deZevallos 2.5%
$38,870 Vol.
$38,870 Vol.
Jon Bonck
94%
Barrett McNabb
3%
Larry Rubin
3%
Shelly deZevallos
3%
Jennifer Sundt
1%
Michael Pratt
1%
Carmen Montiel
1%
Craig Goralski
1%
Jeff Yuna
<1%
Avery Ayers
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Markt eröffnet: Feb 6, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jon Bonck holds a commanding lead in the TX-38 Republican primary runoff against Shelly deZevallos, scheduled for May 26, following his first-place finish with 48% in the March 3 primary amid an open seat vacated by Rep. Wesley Hunt's Senate bid. Trader consensus at 94.6% reflects Bonck's Trump endorsement, backing from Club for Growth—which released an internal May 7 poll showing him at 47% to deZevallos's 16% with 37% undecided—plus support from House GOP leadership and Rep. Morgan Luttrell. Elevated odds on others like Barrett McNabb signal minor write-in speculation, but Bonck's momentum in this GOP stronghold dominates. A late deZevallos surge, scandal, or turnout collapse could challenge, though barriers remain high.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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