President Aleksandar Vučić’s June 27, 2026 announcement that he would resign within weeks and trigger early presidential and parliamentary elections—originally due by December 2027—remains the dominant driver of trader positioning on parliament dissolution timing. The move followed sustained mass protests and came after the ruling Serbian Progressive Party lost its outright majority in the 2023 vote. Under Serbia’s constitution, the president must formally dissolve the National Assembly to schedule snap elections, which must then occur within 45–60 days. As of mid-August 2026 no dissolution has occurred, leaving the exact window open while Vučić’s Serbian Progressive Party retains control of the current legislature. Key variables include the timing of any resignation, possible coalition shifts, and procedural steps in the National Assembly itself.