Recent confidential SEC filings and April reports of SpaceX targeting an IPO valuation above $2 trillion—potentially raising up to $75 billion—have anchored trader consensus around the 2.0T–2.5T range at 31% implied probability. Starlink’s expanding satellite network and Starship’s reusable launch cadence support this positioning by driving projected revenue growth toward $18 billion, while plans for space-based AI data centers introduce longer-term upside that differentiates the company from traditional aerospace peers. With the 1.5T–2.0T band holding 22%, markets reflect uncertainty over exact pricing amid a possible June 2026 debut and pending public S-1 details.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$1,993,945 Vol.
$1,993,945 Vol.
<1,0T
4%
1,0 Billionen–1,5 Billionen
7%
1,5 Bio.–2,0 Bio.
22%
2,0 Billionen–2,5 Billionen
31%
2,5T-3,0T
18%
3,0 Bln.–3,5 Bln.
11%
3,5T+
3%
Kein Börsengang vor 2028
2%
$1,993,945 Vol.
$1,993,945 Vol.
<1,0T
$73,943 Vol.
4%
1,0 Billionen–1,5 Billionen
$65,312 Vol.
7%
1,5 Bio.–2,0 Bio.
$77,042 Vol.
22%
2,0 Billionen–2,5 Billionen
$102,842 Vol.
31%
2,5T-3,0T
$823,536 Vol.
18%
3,0 Bln.–3,5 Bln.
$491,891 Vol.
11%
3,5T+
$72,889 Vol.
3%
Kein Börsengang vor 2028
$286,491 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Recent confidential SEC filings and April reports of SpaceX targeting an IPO valuation above $2 trillion—potentially raising up to $75 billion—have anchored trader consensus around the 2.0T–2.5T range at 31% implied probability. Starlink’s expanding satellite network and Starship’s reusable launch cadence support this positioning by driving projected revenue growth toward $18 billion, while plans for space-based AI data centers introduce longer-term upside that differentiates the company from traditional aerospace peers. With the 1.5T–2.0T band holding 22%, markets reflect uncertainty over exact pricing amid a possible June 2026 debut and pending public S-1 details.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
Volumen
$1,993,945Markt eröffnet
Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Recent confidential SEC filings and April reports of SpaceX targeting an IPO valuation above $2 trillion—potentially raising up to $75 billion—have anchored trader consensus around the 2.0T–2.5T range at 31% implied probability. Starlink’s expanding satellite network and Starship’s reusable launch cadence support this positioning by driving projected revenue growth toward $18 billion, while plans for space-based AI data centers introduce longer-term upside that differentiates the company from traditional aerospace peers. With the 1.5T–2.0T band holding 22%, markets reflect uncertainty over exact pricing amid a possible June 2026 debut and pending public S-1 details.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volumen
$1,993,945Markt eröffnet
Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent confidential SEC filings and April reports of SpaceX targeting an IPO valuation above $2 trillion—potentially raising up to $75 billion—have anchored trader consensus around the 2.0T–2.5T range at 31% implied probability. Starlink’s expanding satellite network and Starship’s reusable launch cadence support this positioning by driving projected revenue growth toward $18 billion, while plans for space-based AI data centers introduce longer-term upside that differentiates the company from traditional aerospace peers. With the 1.5T–2.0T band holding 22%, markets reflect uncertainty over exact pricing amid a possible June 2026 debut and pending public S-1 details.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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