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Finance·Indicies

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 1?

icon for S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 1?
Finance·Indicies

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 1?

Juni 30

Juli 1

Juni 30

Juli 1

Up

61% Chance
Polymarket
NEU

Up

61% Chance
Polymarket
NEU
This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on July 1 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on July 1 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official open/close price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If the previous trading day has no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Open/Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices". US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia

This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on July 1 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on July 1 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day.

E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day.

If the two prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.

If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.

If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official open/close price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If the previous trading day has no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.

The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Open/Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices".

US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks
EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea
ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia
Volumen
$10
Enddatum
1. Juli 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jun 30, 2026, 8:00 AM ET

Abwicklungsquelle

https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on July 1 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on July 1 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official open/close price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If the previous trading day has no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Open/Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices". US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia
This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on July 1 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on July 1 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official open/close price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If the previous trading day has no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Open/Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices". US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia

This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on July 1 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on July 1 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day.

E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day.

If the two prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.

If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.

If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official open/close price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If the previous trading day has no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.

The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Open/Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices".

US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks
EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea
ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia
Volumen
$10
Enddatum
1. Juli 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jun 30, 2026, 8:00 AM ET

Abwicklungsquelle

https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on July 1 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on July 1 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official open/close price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If the previous trading day has no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Open/Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices". US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 1?" ist ein täglich-Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket, auf dem Händler Anteile darauf kaufen und verkaufen, ob der Preis von S&P 500 höher („Up") oder niedriger („Down") als sein Eröffnungspreis über das im Titel angegebene täglich-Fenster abschließen wird. Die aktuelle Marktwahrscheinlichkeit liegt bei 61% für „Up". Ein Preis von 61% bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 61% zuweist. Die Preise werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler auf Live-Preisbewegungen von S&P 500 reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 1?" ist ein aktiver kurzfristiger Markt auf Polymarket. Das Handelsvolumen kann sich schnell aufbauen, während das täglich-Fenster fortschreitet – steigen Sie früh ein, um die Quoten mitzugestalten.

Um auf „S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 1?" zu handeln, entscheiden Sie, ob der Preis von S&P 500 um 12:00 Uhr ET am July 1 höher („Up") oder niedriger („Down") als um 12:00 Uhr ET am July 1 sein wird. Kaufen Sie „Up", wenn Sie glauben, der Preis wird steigen, oder „Down", wenn Sie glauben, er wird fallen. Geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr Ergebnis bei der Auflösung richtig, zahlt jeder Anteil $1,00 aus. Liegt es falsch, sind die Anteile $0 wert.

Die aktuelle Wahrscheinlichkeit für „S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 1?" liegt bei 61% für „Up", was bedeutet, dass die Polymarket-Community derzeit eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 61% sieht, dass der Preis von S&P 500 über dieses täglich-Fenster up abschließen wird. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler auf Live-Preisdaten von S&P 500 reagieren. Über einen ganzen Tag spiegeln die Quoten die sich entwickelnde Stimmung wider, während sich die Preisbewegung des Tages entfaltet. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder handeln Sie jetzt, bevor das Fenster schließt.

Der Markt „S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 1?" wird auf Basis eines Vergleichs des S&P 500-Preises um 12:00 Uhr ET am July 1 gegenüber 12:00 Uhr ET am July 1 aufgelöst, unter Verwendung der Binance SPX-OPENS/USDT 1-Minuten-Kerzenschlusspreise. Ist der Preis am July 1 höher, ist das Ergebnis „Up"; ist er niedriger, „Down"; bei Gleichheit wird 50-50 aufgelöst. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite einsehen.