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icon for SSI public model released by…?

SSI public model released by…?

icon for SSI public model released by…?

SSI public model released by…?

NEU

$22,813 Vol.

31. Aug. 2026
Polymarket

$22,813 Vol.

Polymarket

August 31

$11,229 Vol.

17%

September 30

$6,737 Vol.

31%

October 31

$4,847 Vol.

42%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Safe Superintelligence Inc. (SSI) releases a model, and that model is made available to the general public between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A qualifying model must be an AI model released by SSI or associated with SSI and confirmed as such by SSI or by a consensus of credible reporting. For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by SSI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SSI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Safe Superintelligence Inc. (SSI), founded by Ilya Sutskever in 2024, maintains its policy of releasing no public large language models, APIs, papers, or demos until achieving safe superintelligence, with zero artifacts shipped in its first 25 months. The July 27, 2026, NVIDIA partnership—including a multi-billion-dollar investment and order-of-magnitude increase in Vera Rubin compute—serves as the main driver of trader sentiment by signaling that internal research has reached a scalable stage, per Sutskever’s comments. This has fueled speculation, including investor Gavin Baker’s August 2026 release prediction, amid SSI’s otherwise total secrecy and “straight-shot” focus distinct from scaling-era approaches at peers like OpenAI. Key upcoming catalysts include any post-August announcements or further compute milestones that could shift the implied probability of an early public model.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Safe Superintelligence Inc. (SSI) releases a model, and that model is made available to the general public between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

A qualifying model must be an AI model released by SSI or associated with SSI and confirmed as such by SSI or by a consensus of credible reporting.

For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.

The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by SSI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SSI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$22,813
Enddatum
31. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 10, 2026, 7:29 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Safe Superintelligence Inc. (SSI) releases a model, and that model is made available to the general public between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A qualifying model must be an AI model released by SSI or associated with SSI and confirmed as such by SSI or by a consensus of credible reporting. For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by SSI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SSI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Safe Superintelligence Inc. (SSI) releases a model, and that model is made available to the general public between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A qualifying model must be an AI model released by SSI or associated with SSI and confirmed as such by SSI or by a consensus of credible reporting. For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by SSI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SSI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Safe Superintelligence Inc. (SSI), founded by Ilya Sutskever in 2024, maintains its policy of releasing no public large language models, APIs, papers, or demos until achieving safe superintelligence, with zero artifacts shipped in its first 25 months. The July 27, 2026, NVIDIA partnership—including a multi-billion-dollar investment and order-of-magnitude increase in Vera Rubin compute—serves as the main driver of trader sentiment by signaling that internal research has reached a scalable stage, per Sutskever’s comments. This has fueled speculation, including investor Gavin Baker’s August 2026 release prediction, amid SSI’s otherwise total secrecy and “straight-shot” focus distinct from scaling-era approaches at peers like OpenAI. Key upcoming catalysts include any post-August announcements or further compute milestones that could shift the implied probability of an early public model.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Safe Superintelligence Inc. (SSI) releases a model, and that model is made available to the general public between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

A qualifying model must be an AI model released by SSI or associated with SSI and confirmed as such by SSI or by a consensus of credible reporting.

For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.

The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by SSI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SSI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$22,813
Enddatum
31. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 10, 2026, 7:29 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Safe Superintelligence Inc. (SSI) releases a model, and that model is made available to the general public between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A qualifying model must be an AI model released by SSI or associated with SSI and confirmed as such by SSI or by a consensus of credible reporting. For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by SSI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SSI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„SSI public model released by…?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 3 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „October 31" mit 42%, gefolgt von „September 30" mit 31%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 42¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 42% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „SSI public model released by…?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $22.8K generiert, seit der Markt am Aug 11, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „SSI public model released by…?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 3 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „SSI public model released by…?" ist „October 31" mit 42%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 42% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „September 30" mit 31%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „SSI public model released by…?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.