Recent polling shows Democratic nominee James Talarico running close to both Republican contenders in hypothetical November matchups, with leads of three to eight points that fall within margins of error. Traders assign a 62.5% probability to a Talarico-Paxton general election contest primarily because the May 26 Republican runoff favors Attorney General Ken Paxton, who holds a slight edge among likely GOP primary voters and stronger appeal to the party’s conservative base. Incumbent Senator John Cornyn trails in runoff surveys despite his institutional advantages, leaving the Talarico-Cornyn outcome at 37%. Talarico’s record first-quarter fundraising and March primary victory over Jasmine Crockett further anchor expectations that he will face the runoff winner in November.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertTexas Senatswahl Matchup
Texas Senatswahl Matchup
Talarico & Paxton 63%
Talarico & Cornyn 37%
Crockett & Hunt <1%
Talarico & Hunt <1%
$721,500 Vol.
$721,500 Vol.
3. März 2026
Talarico & Paxton
63%
Talarico & Cornyn
37%
Crockett & Hunt
<1%
Talarico & Hunt
<1%
Crockett & Paxton
<1%
Crockett & Cornyn
<1%
Andere
<1%
Talarico & Paxton 63%
Talarico & Cornyn 37%
Crockett & Hunt <1%
Talarico & Hunt <1%
$721,500 Vol.
$721,500 Vol.
3. März 2026
Talarico & Paxton
$275,360 Vol.
63%
Talarico & Cornyn
$197,112 Vol.
37%
Crockett & Hunt
$24,730 Vol.
<1%
Talarico & Hunt
$24,058 Vol.
<1%
Crockett & Paxton
$107,066 Vol.
<1%
Crockett & Cornyn
$65,651 Vol.
<1%
Andere
$27,524 Vol.
<1%
The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Recent polling shows Democratic nominee James Talarico running close to both Republican contenders in hypothetical November matchups, with leads of three to eight points that fall within margins of error. Traders assign a 62.5% probability to a Talarico-Paxton general election contest primarily because the May 26 Republican runoff favors Attorney General Ken Paxton, who holds a slight edge among likely GOP primary voters and stronger appeal to the party’s conservative base. Incumbent Senator John Cornyn trails in runoff surveys despite his institutional advantages, leaving the Talarico-Cornyn outcome at 37%. Talarico’s record first-quarter fundraising and March primary victory over Jasmine Crockett further anchor expectations that he will face the runoff winner in November.
The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Markt eröffnet: Feb 18, 2026, 7:47 PM ET
Volumen
$721,500Enddatum
3. März 2026Markt eröffnet
Feb 18, 2026, 7:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Recent polling shows Democratic nominee James Talarico running close to both Republican contenders in hypothetical November matchups, with leads of three to eight points that fall within margins of error. Traders assign a 62.5% probability to a Talarico-Paxton general election contest primarily because the May 26 Republican runoff favors Attorney General Ken Paxton, who holds a slight edge among likely GOP primary voters and stronger appeal to the party’s conservative base. Incumbent Senator John Cornyn trails in runoff surveys despite his institutional advantages, leaving the Talarico-Cornyn outcome at 37%. Talarico’s record first-quarter fundraising and March primary victory over Jasmine Crockett further anchor expectations that he will face the runoff winner in November.
The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volumen
$721,500Enddatum
3. März 2026Markt eröffnet
Feb 18, 2026, 7:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling shows Democratic nominee James Talarico running close to both Republican contenders in hypothetical November matchups, with leads of three to eight points that fall within margins of error. Traders assign a 62.5% probability to a Talarico-Paxton general election contest primarily because the May 26 Republican runoff favors Attorney General Ken Paxton, who holds a slight edge among likely GOP primary voters and stronger appeal to the party’s conservative base. Incumbent Senator John Cornyn trails in runoff surveys despite his institutional advantages, leaving the Talarico-Cornyn outcome at 37%. Talarico’s record first-quarter fundraising and March primary victory over Jasmine Crockett further anchor expectations that he will face the runoff winner in November.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen