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Politik·Auszeichnungen

Friedensnobelpreisträger 2026

icon for Friedensnobelpreisträger 2026
Politik·Auszeichnungen

Friedensnobelpreisträger 2026

Donald Trump 10%

Julija Nawalnaja 8%

Titel des Gruppeneintrags: Volodymyr Zelenskyy 6.0%

UNRWA 4.8%

Polymarket

$17,520,405 Vol.

Donald Trump 10%

Julija Nawalnaja 8%

Titel des Gruppeneintrags: Volodymyr Zelenskyy 6.0%

UNRWA 4.8%

Polymarket

$17,520,405 Vol.

icon for Donald Trump

Donald Trump

$3,359,550 Vol.

10%

icon for Julija Nawalnaja

Julija Nawalnaja

$156,863 Vol.

8%

icon for Titel des Gruppeneintrags: Volodymyr Zelenskyy

Titel des Gruppeneintrags: Volodymyr Zelenskyy

$466,062 Vol.

6%

icon for UNRWA

UNRWA

$1,945,591 Vol.

5%

icon for Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani

Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani

$610,608 Vol.

4%

icon for Papst Leo XIV

Papst Leo XIV

$698,359 Vol.

3%

icon for Internationaler Gerichtshof

Internationaler Gerichtshof

$759,372 Vol.

2%

icon for Narendra Modi

Narendra Modi

$544,219 Vol.

2%

icon for Xi Jinping

Xi Jinping

$1,135,381 Vol.

1%

icon for Greta Thunberg

Greta Thunberg

$1,188,304 Vol.

1%

icon for Gruppeneintrag-Titel: Charlie Kirk

Gruppeneintrag-Titel: Charlie Kirk

$896,892 Vol.

1%

icon for Recep Tayyip Erdoğan

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan

$701,708 Vol.

1%

icon for Ahmed al-Sharaa

Ahmed al-Sharaa

$936,217 Vol.

1%

icon for António Guterres

António Guterres

$411,706 Vol.

1%

icon for Khaled Mashal

Khaled Mashal

$446,279 Vol.

1%

icon for Mohammed bin Salman

Mohammed bin Salman

$811,094 Vol.

1%

icon for Gruppeneintragstitel: Julian Assange

Gruppeneintragstitel: Julian Assange

$493,667 Vol.

1%

icon for Wladimir Putin

Wladimir Putin

$738,016 Vol.

1%

icon for Titel des Gruppenitems: Elon Musk

Titel des Gruppenitems: Elon Musk

$724,919 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gruppen-Item-Titel: Benjamin Netanyahu

Gruppen-Item-Titel: Benjamin Netanyahu

$495,731 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.With no single frontrunner in the wide-open 2026 Nobel Peace Prize field, trader sentiment remains evenly split among low-double-digit contenders because the Norwegian Nobel Committee’s April 30 disclosure of 287 nominees revealed an unusually fragmented slate. Donald Trump’s modest lead at 9.5% reflects recent high-profile endorsements from leaders in Israel, Cambodia and Pakistan plus lingering narratives around past diplomatic efforts, yet the market still prices him below 10% given the committee’s history of favoring under-the-radar activists over political figures. Yulia Navalnaya’s 7.5% share stems from her sustained visibility as an opposition voice and recent honors, while Volodymyr Zelenskyy’s 6.0% position tracks Ukraine’s ongoing resilience storyline. Additional momentum could shift quickly on summer endorsements or verified peace breakthroughs ahead of the October announcement.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.

If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Volumen
$17,520,405
Enddatum
10. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.With no single frontrunner in the wide-open 2026 Nobel Peace Prize field, trader sentiment remains evenly split among low-double-digit contenders because the Norwegian Nobel Committee’s April 30 disclosure of 287 nominees revealed an unusually fragmented slate. Donald Trump’s modest lead at 9.5% reflects recent high-profile endorsements from leaders in Israel, Cambodia and Pakistan plus lingering narratives around past diplomatic efforts, yet the market still prices him below 10% given the committee’s history of favoring under-the-radar activists over political figures. Yulia Navalnaya’s 7.5% share stems from her sustained visibility as an opposition voice and recent honors, while Volodymyr Zelenskyy’s 6.0% position tracks Ukraine’s ongoing resilience storyline. Additional momentum could shift quickly on summer endorsements or verified peace breakthroughs ahead of the October announcement.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.

If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Volumen
$17,520,405
Enddatum
10. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Friedensnobelpreisträger 2026" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 20 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Donald Trump" mit 10%, gefolgt von „Julija Nawalnaja" mit 8%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 10¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 10% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Friedensnobelpreisträger 2026" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $17.5 million generiert, seit der Markt am Oct 16, 2025 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Friedensnobelpreisträger 2026" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 20 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Friedensnobelpreisträger 2026" ist „Donald Trump" mit 10%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 10% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Julija Nawalnaja" mit 8%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Friedensnobelpreisträger 2026" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.