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Politik·Auszeichnungen

Friedensnobelpreisträger 2026

icon for Friedensnobelpreisträger 2026
Politik·Auszeichnungen

Friedensnobelpreisträger 2026

Julija Nawalnaja 9%

Titel des Gruppeneintrags: Volodymyr Zelenskyy 5.7%

UNRWA 4.3%

Papst Leo XIV 3.1%

Polymarket

$23,391,372 Vol.

Julija Nawalnaja 9%

Titel des Gruppeneintrags: Volodymyr Zelenskyy 5.7%

UNRWA 4.3%

Papst Leo XIV 3.1%

Polymarket

$23,391,372 Vol.

icon for Julija Nawalnaja

Julija Nawalnaja

$290,593 Vol.

9%

icon for Titel des Gruppeneintrags: Volodymyr Zelenskyy

Titel des Gruppeneintrags: Volodymyr Zelenskyy

$790,383 Vol.

6%

icon for UNRWA

UNRWA

$2,044,316 Vol.

4%

icon for Papst Leo XIV

Papst Leo XIV

$811,759 Vol.

3%

icon for Internationaler Gerichtshof

Internationaler Gerichtshof

$904,864 Vol.

3%

icon for Donald Trump

Donald Trump

$4,347,666 Vol.

2%

icon for Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani

Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani

$785,560 Vol.

2%

icon for Gruppeneintragstitel: Julian Assange

Gruppeneintragstitel: Julian Assange

$849,595 Vol.

1%

icon for Narendra Modi

Narendra Modi

$685,776 Vol.

1%

icon for Greta Thunberg

Greta Thunberg

$1,452,349 Vol.

1%

icon for Ahmed al-Sharaa

Ahmed al-Sharaa

$1,261,796 Vol.

1%

icon for António Guterres

António Guterres

$627,530 Vol.

1%

icon for Xi Jinping

Xi Jinping

$1,434,009 Vol.

1%

icon for Khaled Mashal

Khaled Mashal

$866,190 Vol.

1%

icon for Recep Tayyip Erdoğan

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan

$1,053,661 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gruppen-Item-Titel: Benjamin Netanyahu

Gruppen-Item-Titel: Benjamin Netanyahu

$692,259 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mohammed bin Salman

Mohammed bin Salman

$1,172,723 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gruppeneintrag-Titel: Charlie Kirk

Gruppeneintrag-Titel: Charlie Kirk

$1,244,888 Vol.

<1%

icon for Titel des Gruppenitems: Elon Musk

Titel des Gruppenitems: Elon Musk

$1,171,100 Vol.

<1%

icon for Wladimir Putin

Wladimir Putin

$904,365 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.Yulia Navalnaya holds the market lead at 8.5% implied probability thanks to her sustained visibility as a Russian opposition figure advancing her late husband Alexei Navalny’s anti-corruption and democracy work through international forums and advocacy. The rest of the field remains tightly bunched, with Volodymyr Zelenskyy, UNRWA, Pope Leo XIV, the International Court of Justice, and Donald Trump all below 6%, reflecting the Norwegian Nobel Committee’s secret shortlisting process and historical openness to both individuals and organizations among the 287 nominees. With the October 9 announcement still two months away, traders are pricing in uncertainty around late momentum shifts, guild-style precursor signals, or an organizational surprise rather than any dominant campaign narrative.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.

If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Volumen
$23,391,372
Enddatum
10. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.Yulia Navalnaya holds the market lead at 8.5% implied probability thanks to her sustained visibility as a Russian opposition figure advancing her late husband Alexei Navalny’s anti-corruption and democracy work through international forums and advocacy. The rest of the field remains tightly bunched, with Volodymyr Zelenskyy, UNRWA, Pope Leo XIV, the International Court of Justice, and Donald Trump all below 6%, reflecting the Norwegian Nobel Committee’s secret shortlisting process and historical openness to both individuals and organizations among the 287 nominees. With the October 9 announcement still two months away, traders are pricing in uncertainty around late momentum shifts, guild-style precursor signals, or an organizational surprise rather than any dominant campaign narrative.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.

If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Volumen
$23,391,372
Enddatum
10. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

Verwandte

icon for Werden Trump, Putin und Selenskyj vor 2027 zusammen gesehen?

Werden Trump, Putin und Selenskyj vor 2027 zusammen gesehen?

6%
Ja
icon for Treffen sich Trump, Putin und Selenskyj vor 2027?

Treffen sich Trump, Putin und Selenskyj vor 2027?

6%
Ja
icon for Wird Josh Allen 2026 NFL MVP werden?

Wird Josh Allen 2026 NFL MVP werden?

13%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Friedensnobelpreisträger 2026" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 20 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Julija Nawalnaja" mit 9%, gefolgt von „Titel des Gruppeneintrags: Volodymyr Zelenskyy" mit 6%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 9¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 9% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Friedensnobelpreisträger 2026" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $23.4 million generiert, seit der Markt am Oct 16, 2025 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Friedensnobelpreisträger 2026" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 20 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Dies ist ein offener Markt. Der aktuelle Spitzenreiter für „Friedensnobelpreisträger 2026" ist „Julija Nawalnaja" mit nur 9%, dicht gefolgt von „Titel des Gruppeneintrags: Volodymyr Zelenskyy" mit 6%. Da kein Ergebnis eine starke Mehrheit hat, sehen Händler dies als hochgradig unsicher an, was einzigartige Handelsmöglichkeiten bieten kann. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert – speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Friedensnobelpreisträger 2026" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.