US military capture of Nicolás Maduro on January 3, 2026, and his subsequent removal from Venezuela shifted immediate power to interim structures, yet trader consensus continues to favor him at the end of 2026 amid ongoing Chavista institutional control. Delcy Rodríguez, sworn in as acting president shortly after the operation, holds the next-highest probability as the regime's continuity candidate during the transition period that includes scheduled elections later in the year. Opposition figures such as María Corina Machado and Edmundo González remain sidelined by low odds due to limited institutional access following the disputed 2024 vote and post-intervention dynamics. Key military and political allies including Jorge Rodríguez, Diosdado Cabello, and Vladimir Padrino López register minimal probabilities, reflecting their secondary roles in current negotiations and stability arrangements. These prices embed uncertainty over how the August 2026 electoral process and any US-backed roadmap will ultimately reshape leadership by year-end.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertVenezuelas Regierungschef Ende 2026?
Venezuelas Regierungschef Ende 2026?
Nicolás Maduro 64.1%
Delcy Rodríguez 21%
María Corina Machado 7%
Jorge Rodríguez 1.1%
$88,252,184 Vol.
$88,252,184 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
Nicolás Maduro
64%
Delcy Rodríguez
21%
María Corina Machado
7%
Jorge Rodríguez
1%
Edmundo González
1%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
1%
Donald Trump
1%
Kein Staatschef
1%
Dinorah Figuera
<1%
Marco Rubio
<1%
Vladimir Padrino López
<1%
Evan Pettus
<1%
Dan Caine
<1%
Pete Hegseth
<1%
Frank Donovan
<1%
Richard Grenell
<1%
Nicolás Maduro 64.1%
Delcy Rodríguez 21%
María Corina Machado 7%
Jorge Rodríguez 1.1%
$88,252,184 Vol.
$88,252,184 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
Nicolás Maduro
$1,706,037 Vol.
64%
Delcy Rodríguez
$1,597,374 Vol.
21%
María Corina Machado
$1,056,384 Vol.
7%
Jorge Rodríguez
$1,003,219 Vol.
1%
Edmundo González
$825,980 Vol.
1%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
$1,683,098 Vol.
1%
Donald Trump
$913,165 Vol.
1%
Kein Staatschef
$1,076,584 Vol.
1%
Dinorah Figuera
$2,339,279 Vol.
<1%
Marco Rubio
$981,148 Vol.
<1%
Vladimir Padrino López
$666,471 Vol.
<1%
Evan Pettus
$5,165,393 Vol.
<1%
Dan Caine
$3,566,968 Vol.
<1%
Pete Hegseth
$8,600,737 Vol.
<1%
Frank Donovan
$25,054,556 Vol.
<1%
Richard Grenell
$32,015,955 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
US military capture of Nicolás Maduro on January 3, 2026, and his subsequent removal from Venezuela shifted immediate power to interim structures, yet trader consensus continues to favor him at the end of 2026 amid ongoing Chavista institutional control. Delcy Rodríguez, sworn in as acting president shortly after the operation, holds the next-highest probability as the regime's continuity candidate during the transition period that includes scheduled elections later in the year. Opposition figures such as María Corina Machado and Edmundo González remain sidelined by low odds due to limited institutional access following the disputed 2024 vote and post-intervention dynamics. Key military and political allies including Jorge Rodríguez, Diosdado Cabello, and Vladimir Padrino López register minimal probabilities, reflecting their secondary roles in current negotiations and stability arrangements. These prices embed uncertainty over how the August 2026 electoral process and any US-backed roadmap will ultimately reshape leadership by year-end.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Markt eröffnet: Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
Volumen
$88,252,184Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
US military capture of Nicolás Maduro on January 3, 2026, and his subsequent removal from Venezuela shifted immediate power to interim structures, yet trader consensus continues to favor him at the end of 2026 amid ongoing Chavista institutional control. Delcy Rodríguez, sworn in as acting president shortly after the operation, holds the next-highest probability as the regime's continuity candidate during the transition period that includes scheduled elections later in the year. Opposition figures such as María Corina Machado and Edmundo González remain sidelined by low odds due to limited institutional access following the disputed 2024 vote and post-intervention dynamics. Key military and political allies including Jorge Rodríguez, Diosdado Cabello, and Vladimir Padrino López register minimal probabilities, reflecting their secondary roles in current negotiations and stability arrangements. These prices embed uncertainty over how the August 2026 electoral process and any US-backed roadmap will ultimately reshape leadership by year-end.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Volumen
$88,252,184Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...US military capture of Nicolás Maduro on January 3, 2026, and his subsequent removal from Venezuela shifted immediate power to interim structures, yet trader consensus continues to favor him at the end of 2026 amid ongoing Chavista institutional control. Delcy Rodríguez, sworn in as acting president shortly after the operation, holds the next-highest probability as the regime's continuity candidate during the transition period that includes scheduled elections later in the year. Opposition figures such as María Corina Machado and Edmundo González remain sidelined by low odds due to limited institutional access following the disputed 2024 vote and post-intervention dynamics. Key military and political allies including Jorge Rodríguez, Diosdado Cabello, and Vladimir Padrino López register minimal probabilities, reflecting their secondary roles in current negotiations and stability arrangements. These prices embed uncertainty over how the August 2026 electoral process and any US-backed roadmap will ultimately reshape leadership by year-end.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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