Anthropic leads trader sentiment at 43.5% implied probability due to its latest Claude Opus models posting top scores on math-specific benchmarks such as AIME, FrontierMath, and IMO-ProofBench as of early June 2026. Google sits at 32.5% on the strength of Gemini 3.1 Pro’s leading results in scientific reasoning evaluations like GPQA Diamond. OpenAI trails at 16.0% despite GPT-5.5’s strong composite intelligence and agentic performance. These rankings reflect verified capability gaps in formal mathematical reasoning and proof generation rather than general hype, with no major new releases reported in the past week that would shift the near-term outlook before end-of-June resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWhich company has the best Math AI model end of June?
Anthropic 44%
Google 33%
OpenAI 16%
Z.ai <1%
$189,933 Vol.
$189,933 Vol.

Anthropic
44%

33%

OpenAI
16%

Z.ai
1%

Moonshot
<1%

Alibaba
<1%

xAI
<1%

ByteDance
<1%

Amazon
<1%

Meta
<1%

Baidu
<1%

DeepSeek
<1%

Microsoft
<1%

Mistral
<1%

Meituan
<1%
Anthropic 44%
Google 33%
OpenAI 16%
Z.ai <1%
$189,933 Vol.
$189,933 Vol.

Anthropic
44%

33%

OpenAI
16%

Z.ai
1%

Moonshot
<1%

Alibaba
<1%

xAI
<1%

ByteDance
<1%

Amazon
<1%

Meta
<1%

Baidu
<1%

DeepSeek
<1%

Microsoft
<1%

Mistral
<1%

Meituan
<1%
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Markt eröffnet: May 26, 2026, 6:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic leads trader sentiment at 43.5% implied probability due to its latest Claude Opus models posting top scores on math-specific benchmarks such as AIME, FrontierMath, and IMO-ProofBench as of early June 2026. Google sits at 32.5% on the strength of Gemini 3.1 Pro’s leading results in scientific reasoning evaluations like GPQA Diamond. OpenAI trails at 16.0% despite GPT-5.5’s strong composite intelligence and agentic performance. These rankings reflect verified capability gaps in formal mathematical reasoning and proof generation rather than general hype, with no major new releases reported in the past week that would shift the near-term outlook before end-of-June resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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