Recent polling shows New Zealand’s two largest parties, National and Labour, tied near 28% support ahead of the November 7 election, with the Greens reaching a record 16% while ACT and NZ First sit around 11% and 9%. This leaves both the incumbent right-leaning bloc (National–ACT–NZ First) and a potential left-leaning alternative short of the 62 seats needed for a majority in the 122-seat Parliament under MMP. The Opportunity Party, polling above the 5% threshold, holds potential balance-of-power influence, though National has ruled out cooperation. Campaign launches in late September and early October have focused on fiscal plans, infrastructure, and public transport, amid economic pressures. Parliament dissolved on October 1, with advance voting beginning later this month.