Recent opinion polls for New Zealand’s 7 November 2026 general election under the MMP system show Labour and National trading narrow leads, followed by the Greens consistently ahead of New Zealand First and other minor parties. Greens support has held near 10–13 percent across multiple surveys, while New Zealand First has slipped to around 8–10 percent amid the Opportunity Party’s surge to similar levels and broader voter shifts on cost-of-living issues. ACT remains lower at 7–9 percent, keeping it behind the Greens in seat projections. These patterns, reflected in the latest 1News–Verian and Taxpayers’ Union–Curia results, underpin trader consensus favoring the Greens for third place while leaving room for volatility from threshold dynamics and late campaign movements.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNew Zealand Election: 3rd Place
New Zealand Election: 3rd Place
Green Party 54%
New Zealand First Party 40%
ACT New Zealand 4.5%
National Party 1.7%
NEU
NEU
7. Nov. 2026
Green Party
54%
New Zealand First Party
40%
ACT New Zealand
4%
National Party
2%
Te Pāti Māori
<1%
Labour Party
<1%
Green Party 54%
New Zealand First Party 40%
ACT New Zealand 4.5%
National Party 1.7%
NEU
NEU
7. Nov. 2026
Green Party
$2,659 Vol.
54%
New Zealand First Party
$2,958 Vol.
40%
ACT New Zealand
$641 Vol.
4%
National Party
$355 Vol.
2%
Te Pāti Māori
$714 Vol.
<1%
Labour Party
$1,005 Vol.
<1%
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent opinion polls for New Zealand’s 7 November 2026 general election under the MMP system show Labour and National trading narrow leads, followed by the Greens consistently ahead of New Zealand First and other minor parties. Greens support has held near 10–13 percent across multiple surveys, while New Zealand First has slipped to around 8–10 percent amid the Opportunity Party’s surge to similar levels and broader voter shifts on cost-of-living issues. ACT remains lower at 7–9 percent, keeping it behind the Greens in seat projections. These patterns, reflected in the latest 1News–Verian and Taxpayers’ Union–Curia results, underpin trader consensus favoring the Greens for third place while leaving room for volatility from threshold dynamics and late campaign movements.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Markt eröffnet: Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
Volumen
$8,332Enddatum
7. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent opinion polls for New Zealand’s 7 November 2026 general election under the MMP system show Labour and National trading narrow leads, followed by the Greens consistently ahead of New Zealand First and other minor parties. Greens support has held near 10–13 percent across multiple surveys, while New Zealand First has slipped to around 8–10 percent amid the Opportunity Party’s surge to similar levels and broader voter shifts on cost-of-living issues. ACT remains lower at 7–9 percent, keeping it behind the Greens in seat projections. These patterns, reflected in the latest 1News–Verian and Taxpayers’ Union–Curia results, underpin trader consensus favoring the Greens for third place while leaving room for volatility from threshold dynamics and late campaign movements.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Volumen
$8,332Enddatum
7. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent opinion polls for New Zealand’s 7 November 2026 general election under the MMP system show Labour and National trading narrow leads, followed by the Greens consistently ahead of New Zealand First and other minor parties. Greens support has held near 10–13 percent across multiple surveys, while New Zealand First has slipped to around 8–10 percent amid the Opportunity Party’s surge to similar levels and broader voter shifts on cost-of-living issues. ACT remains lower at 7–9 percent, keeping it behind the Greens in seat projections. These patterns, reflected in the latest 1News–Verian and Taxpayers’ Union–Curia results, underpin trader consensus favoring the Greens for third place while leaving room for volatility from threshold dynamics and late campaign movements.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertVerwandte
Will National Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
52%
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
55%
Will the National Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
37%
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