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Politik·Prominente

Wer wird den Präsidentschaftslauf vor 2027 ankündigen?

icon for Wer wird den Präsidentschaftslauf vor 2027 ankündigen?
Politik·Prominente

Wer wird den Präsidentschaftslauf vor 2027 ankündigen?

$1,005,016 Vol.

31. Dez. 2026
Polymarket

$1,005,016 Vol.

Polymarket
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Tucker Carlson

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11%

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Kamala Harris

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11%

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Rahm Emanuel

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10%

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Gavin Newsom

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Mark Kelly

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Don Lemon

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<1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Potential 2028 presidential contenders from both major parties have formed exploratory committees or signaled interest through public appearances and fundraising, yet as of August 2026 no leading figures have formally announced campaigns. Traders assign modest probabilities across names such as Kamala Harris, Rahm Emanuel, Gavin Newsom, and Mark Kelly, reflecting uncertainty over announcement timing before the December 31, 2026 resolution date. Democrats recently advanced discussions on the 2028 primary calendar, while Republican positioning centers on figures tied to the current administration. Historical patterns show early announcements often follow midterm results or party conventions, with FEC filings by lesser-known candidates already occurring but major contenders typically waiting for clearer signals.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,005,016
Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Nov 19, 2025, 6:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Potential 2028 presidential contenders from both major parties have formed exploratory committees or signaled interest through public appearances and fundraising, yet as of August 2026 no leading figures have formally announced campaigns. Traders assign modest probabilities across names such as Kamala Harris, Rahm Emanuel, Gavin Newsom, and Mark Kelly, reflecting uncertainty over announcement timing before the December 31, 2026 resolution date. Democrats recently advanced discussions on the 2028 primary calendar, while Republican positioning centers on figures tied to the current administration. Historical patterns show early announcements often follow midterm results or party conventions, with FEC filings by lesser-known candidates already occurring but major contenders typically waiting for clearer signals.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,005,016
Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Nov 19, 2025, 6:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Verwandte

icon for Wird Pete Buttigieg vor 2028 eine Präsidentschaftskandidatur ankündigen?

Wird Pete Buttigieg vor 2028 eine Präsidentschaftskandidatur ankündigen?

83%
Ja
icon for Wird Elon Musk seine Präsidentschaftskandidatur vor 2027 ankündigen?

Wird Elon Musk seine Präsidentschaftskandidatur vor 2027 ankündigen?

4%
Ja
icon for Wird Gavin Newsom bis zum 31. Dezember 2026 eine Präsidentschaftskandidatur ankündigen?

Wird Gavin Newsom bis zum 31. Dezember 2026 eine Präsidentschaftskandidatur ankündigen?

10%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Wer wird den Präsidentschaftslauf vor 2027 ankündigen?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 71+ möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Tucker Carlson" mit 11%, gefolgt von „Kamala Harris" mit 11%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 11¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 11% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Wer wird den Präsidentschaftslauf vor 2027 ankündigen?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $1 million generiert, seit der Markt am Nov 19, 2025 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

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Der aktuelle Favorit für „Wer wird den Präsidentschaftslauf vor 2027 ankündigen?" ist „Tucker Carlson" mit 11%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 11% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Kamala Harris" mit 11%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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