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Politik·Prominente

Wer wird den Präsidentschaftslauf vor 2027 ankündigen?

icon for Wer wird den Präsidentschaftslauf vor 2027 ankündigen?
Politik·Prominente

Wer wird den Präsidentschaftslauf vor 2027 ankündigen?

$1,034,737 Vol.

31. Dez. 2026
Polymarket

$1,034,737 Vol.

Polymarket
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Tucker Carlson

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13%

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Gavin Newsom

$65,823 Vol.

11%

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Andy Beshear

$19,080 Vol.

11%

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Kamala Harris

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11%

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Rahm Emanuel

$12,491 Vol.

10%

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Mark Kelly

$9,282 Vol.

10%

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J.D. Vance

$29,704 Vol.

10%

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Pete Buttigieg

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10%

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Don Lemon

$1,866 Vol.

9%

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Ted Cruz

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9%

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Stephen A. Smith

$17,234 Vol.

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Marjorie Taylor Greene

$20,317 Vol.

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$42,763 Vol.

8%

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8%

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Matt Gaetz

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Candace Owens

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7%

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Gretchen Whitmer

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Brian Kemp

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7%

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Steve Bannon

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Donald Trump

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6%

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J.B. Pritzker

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6%

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Vivek Ramaswamy

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6%

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Cory Booker

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Rand Paul

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Josh Shapiro

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5%

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Erika Kirk

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5%

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Donald Trump Jr.

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Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

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Hunter Biden

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4%

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3%

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Josh Hawley

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Liz Cheney

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3%

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2%

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Beto O’Rourke

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Phil Murphy

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Tom Brady

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Roy Cooper

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Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

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Bernie Sanders

$3,419 Vol.

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Jared Polis

$6,153 Vol.

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$14,405 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.As of August 2026, no major-party candidates have announced 2028 presidential bids, with Ballotpedia noting the lack of noteworthy declarations despite extensive media speculation around figures such as JD Vance, Marco Rubio, Gavin Newsom, Pete Buttigieg, and Andy Beshear. Potential contenders continue exploratory activity and positioning ahead of the November 2026 midterms, which often clarify party dynamics and donor interest before formal launches. Democrats' Rules and Bylaws Committee is advancing the 2028 primary calendar process, with initial votes possible in summer 2026, while a handful of lesser-known candidates have filed FEC paperwork or formed exploratory committees in recent months. Most observers expect the first significant announcements after the midterms and into early 2027, though ambitious figures could move sooner if polling or endorsements shift rapidly.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,034,737
Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Nov 19, 2025, 6:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.As of August 2026, no major-party candidates have announced 2028 presidential bids, with Ballotpedia noting the lack of noteworthy declarations despite extensive media speculation around figures such as JD Vance, Marco Rubio, Gavin Newsom, Pete Buttigieg, and Andy Beshear. Potential contenders continue exploratory activity and positioning ahead of the November 2026 midterms, which often clarify party dynamics and donor interest before formal launches. Democrats' Rules and Bylaws Committee is advancing the 2028 primary calendar process, with initial votes possible in summer 2026, while a handful of lesser-known candidates have filed FEC paperwork or formed exploratory committees in recent months. Most observers expect the first significant announcements after the midterms and into early 2027, though ambitious figures could move sooner if polling or endorsements shift rapidly.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,034,737
Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Nov 19, 2025, 6:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Verwandte

icon for Wird Pete Buttigieg vor 2028 eine Präsidentschaftskandidatur ankündigen?

Wird Pete Buttigieg vor 2028 eine Präsidentschaftskandidatur ankündigen?

90%
Ja
icon for Wird Elon Musk seine Präsidentschaftskandidatur vor 2027 ankündigen?

Wird Elon Musk seine Präsidentschaftskandidatur vor 2027 ankündigen?

3%
Ja
icon for Wird Gavin Newsom bis zum 31. Dezember 2026 eine Präsidentschaftskandidatur ankündigen?

Wird Gavin Newsom bis zum 31. Dezember 2026 eine Präsidentschaftskandidatur ankündigen?

11%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Wer wird den Präsidentschaftslauf vor 2027 ankündigen?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 71+ möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Tucker Carlson" mit 13%, gefolgt von „Gavin Newsom" mit 11%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 13¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 13% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

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