Ongoing US-Iran negotiations, rooted in the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum, remain stalled amid disputes over Strait of Hormuz navigation, sanctions relief, and nuclear issues, with the US claiming indirect talks continue while Iran insists it is engaging only Oman and denies direct dialogue with Washington. Mediators including Pakistan, Qatar, and Oman have facilitated recent technical exchanges and messages, but no new round involving senior US or Iranian officials has materialized in August. Trader sentiment reflects this uncertainty, as the August 31 window leaves little time for breakthroughs before the 60-day MOU period concludes, though any verified diplomatic meeting or resumption of technical talks could shift probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$91,472 Vol.
31. Aug. 2026
Nick Stewart
37%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
10%
Steve Witkoff
11%
Ishaq Dar
10%
Jared Kushner
9%
Abbas Araghchi
9%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
9%
Rafael Grossi
8%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
7%
Kazem Gharibabadi
7%
Pete Hegseth
4%
Marco Rubio
3%
Masoud Pezeshkian
3%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
3%
J.D. Vance
3%
Donald Trump
3%
Esmail Qaani
1%
Mojtaba Khamenei
1%
Ahmad Vahidi
1%
$91,472 Vol.
Nick Stewart
$36 Vol.
37%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
$1,730 Vol.
10%
Steve Witkoff
$12,642 Vol.
11%
Ishaq Dar
$2,622 Vol.
10%
Jared Kushner
$13,408 Vol.
9%
Abbas Araghchi
$8,906 Vol.
9%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
$11,544 Vol.
9%
Rafael Grossi
$881 Vol.
8%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
$253 Vol.
7%
Kazem Gharibabadi
$1,676 Vol.
7%
Pete Hegseth
$2,568 Vol.
4%
Marco Rubio
$7,551 Vol.
3%
Masoud Pezeshkian
$1,719 Vol.
3%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
$3,234 Vol.
3%
J.D. Vance
$10,868 Vol.
3%
Donald Trump
$6,494 Vol.
3%
Esmail Qaani
$456 Vol.
1%
Mojtaba Khamenei
$317 Vol.
1%
Ahmad Vahidi
$4,567 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ongoing US-Iran negotiations, rooted in the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum, remain stalled amid disputes over Strait of Hormuz navigation, sanctions relief, and nuclear issues, with the US claiming indirect talks continue while Iran insists it is engaging only Oman and denies direct dialogue with Washington. Mediators including Pakistan, Qatar, and Oman have facilitated recent technical exchanges and messages, but no new round involving senior US or Iranian officials has materialized in August. Trader sentiment reflects this uncertainty, as the August 31 window leaves little time for breakthroughs before the 60-day MOU period concludes, though any verified diplomatic meeting or resumption of technical talks could shift probabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ET
Volumen
$91,472Enddatum
31. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ongoing US-Iran negotiations, rooted in the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum, remain stalled amid disputes over Strait of Hormuz navigation, sanctions relief, and nuclear issues, with the US claiming indirect talks continue while Iran insists it is engaging only Oman and denies direct dialogue with Washington. Mediators including Pakistan, Qatar, and Oman have facilitated recent technical exchanges and messages, but no new round involving senior US or Iranian officials has materialized in August. Trader sentiment reflects this uncertainty, as the August 31 window leaves little time for breakthroughs before the 60-day MOU period concludes, though any verified diplomatic meeting or resumption of technical talks could shift probabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$91,472Enddatum
31. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US-Iran negotiations, rooted in the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum, remain stalled amid disputes over Strait of Hormuz navigation, sanctions relief, and nuclear issues, with the US claiming indirect talks continue while Iran insists it is engaging only Oman and denies direct dialogue with Washington. Mediators including Pakistan, Qatar, and Oman have facilitated recent technical exchanges and messages, but no new round involving senior US or Iranian officials has materialized in August. Trader sentiment reflects this uncertainty, as the August 31 window leaves little time for breakthroughs before the 60-day MOU period concludes, though any verified diplomatic meeting or resumption of technical talks could shift probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertVerwandte
Wird Jared Kushner bis zum 31. Dezember 2026 an einem diplomatischen Treffen zwischen den USA und dem Iran teilnehmen?
60%
Ja
Wird bis zum 30. September 2026 kein qualifiziertes diplomatisches Treffen zwischen den USA und Iran stattfinden?
68%
Ja
Wird der Iran bis zum 15. August den Ausstieg aus den MOU-Verhandlungen bekannt geben?
<1%
Ja
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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