Russian forces have conducted sustained offensive operations southwest of Huliaipole in Zaporizhzhia Oblast since early 2026, targeting Verkhnia Tersa as a key fortified position to open routes toward Orikhiv and further west. Russian Defense Ministry statements claimed control over the settlement in late May following months of artillery strikes and incremental advances, though Ukrainian units later reported clearing Russian infiltration groups from the area in July and ongoing clashes into August. Ukrainian defensive lines, drone operations, and localized counter-moves remain the primary barriers. No confirmed major territorial shifts in the immediate sector have occurred in the past month, with fighting centered on adjacent settlements and supply routes. Upcoming developments hinge on Russian force concentrations, Ukrainian reinforcement capacity, and any escalation in artillery or air support along this axis.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWird Russland Verkhnia Tersa erobern, indem es...?
$57,436 Vol.
30. September
9%
$57,436 Vol.
30. September
9%
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Verkhnia+Tersa1.png
Intersection Location in Verkhnia Tersa: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Verkhnia+Tersa2.png
Verkhnia Tersa Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Verkhnia+Tersa3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/LDrTndGD6rVRfBnB9
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 31, 2026, 12:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Verkhnia+Tersa1.png
Intersection Location in Verkhnia Tersa: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Verkhnia+Tersa2.png
Verkhnia Tersa Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Verkhnia+Tersa3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/LDrTndGD6rVRfBnB9
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Russian forces have conducted sustained offensive operations southwest of Huliaipole in Zaporizhzhia Oblast since early 2026, targeting Verkhnia Tersa as a key fortified position to open routes toward Orikhiv and further west. Russian Defense Ministry statements claimed control over the settlement in late May following months of artillery strikes and incremental advances, though Ukrainian units later reported clearing Russian infiltration groups from the area in July and ongoing clashes into August. Ukrainian defensive lines, drone operations, and localized counter-moves remain the primary barriers. No confirmed major territorial shifts in the immediate sector have occurred in the past month, with fighting centered on adjacent settlements and supply routes. Upcoming developments hinge on Russian force concentrations, Ukrainian reinforcement capacity, and any escalation in artillery or air support along this axis.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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