The 2026 FIFA World Cup final between defending champions Argentina and Spain at MetLife Stadium on July 19 carries elevated pressure that historically influences penalty conversion rates in shootouts or open play. Multiple knockout-stage matches have already reached extra time and penalties, with conversion struggles evident across several ties. Lionel Messi’s recent misses from the spot—including multiple attempts during the tournament—highlight individual form under scrutiny, though Argentina’s attacking depth and Spain’s defensive organization shape expectations. Weather, fatigue from the expanded 48-team schedule, and last-minute lineup adjustments remain variables that could alter set-piece execution or force decisive kicks. Trader consensus reflects these situational dynamics ahead of the match.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJoan García
51%
David Raya
50%
Álex Grimaldo
50%
Eric García
50%
Marcos Llorente
50%
Pedro Porro
50%
Aymeric Laporte
50%
Pau Cubarsí
50%
Marc Cucurella
50%
Mikel Merino
50%
Fabián Ruiz
50%
Gavi
50%
Álex Baena
50%
Martín Zubimendi
50%
Pedri
50%
Ferran Torres
50%
Dani Olmo
50%
Yeremy Pino
50%
Nico Williams
50%
Lamine Yamal
50%
Mikel Oyarzabal
50%
Víctor Muñoz
50%
Borja Iglesias
50%
Juan Musso
50%
Emiliano Martínez
50%
Marcos Senesi
50%
Nicolás Tagliafico
50%
Gonzalo Montiel
50%
Lisandro Martínez
50%
Cristian Romero
50%
Nicolás Otamendi
50%
Facundo Medina
50%
Nahuel Molina
50%
Leandro Paredes
50%
Rodrigo De Paul
50%
Valentín Barco
50%
Nico González
50%
Alexis Mac Allister
50%
Enzo Fernández
50%
Julián Álvarez
50%
Lionel Messi
50%
Thiago Almada
50%
Nico Paz
50%
José Manuel López
50%
Lautaro Martínez
50%
Marc Pubill
50%
Gerónimo Rulli
50%
Giovani Lo Celso
50%
Exequiel Palacios
50%
Giuliano Simeone
50%
Rodri
11%
Unai Simón
5%
$0.00 Vol.
Joan García
51%
David Raya
50%
Álex Grimaldo
50%
Eric García
50%
Marcos Llorente
50%
Pedro Porro
50%
Aymeric Laporte
50%
Pau Cubarsí
50%
Marc Cucurella
50%
Mikel Merino
50%
Fabián Ruiz
50%
Gavi
50%
Álex Baena
50%
Martín Zubimendi
50%
Pedri
50%
Ferran Torres
50%
Dani Olmo
50%
Yeremy Pino
50%
Nico Williams
50%
Lamine Yamal
50%
Mikel Oyarzabal
50%
Víctor Muñoz
50%
Borja Iglesias
50%
Juan Musso
50%
Emiliano Martínez
50%
Marcos Senesi
50%
Nicolás Tagliafico
50%
Gonzalo Montiel
50%
Lisandro Martínez
50%
Cristian Romero
50%
Nicolás Otamendi
50%
Facundo Medina
50%
Nahuel Molina
50%
Leandro Paredes
50%
Rodrigo De Paul
50%
Valentín Barco
50%
Nico González
50%
Alexis Mac Allister
50%
Enzo Fernández
50%
Julián Álvarez
50%
Lionel Messi
50%
Thiago Almada
50%
Nico Paz
50%
José Manuel López
50%
Lautaro Martínez
50%
Marc Pubill
50%
Gerónimo Rulli
50%
Giovani Lo Celso
50%
Exequiel Palacios
50%
Giuliano Simeone
50%
Rodri
11%
Unai Simón
5%
Only penalty kicks taken during regular time, stoppage time, or extra time are counted. A penalty is counted as missed if it does not result in a goal (missed or saved). Penalty shootout kicks do not count.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no results within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 16, 2026, 7:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Only penalty kicks taken during regular time, stoppage time, or extra time are counted. A penalty is counted as missed if it does not result in a goal (missed or saved). Penalty shootout kicks do not count.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no results within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The 2026 FIFA World Cup final between defending champions Argentina and Spain at MetLife Stadium on July 19 carries elevated pressure that historically influences penalty conversion rates in shootouts or open play. Multiple knockout-stage matches have already reached extra time and penalties, with conversion struggles evident across several ties. Lionel Messi’s recent misses from the spot—including multiple attempts during the tournament—highlight individual form under scrutiny, though Argentina’s attacking depth and Spain’s defensive organization shape expectations. Weather, fatigue from the expanded 48-team schedule, and last-minute lineup adjustments remain variables that could alter set-piece execution or force decisive kicks. Trader consensus reflects these situational dynamics ahead of the match.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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