The expanded 2026 FIFA World Cup features 48 nations in 12 groups of four, with the top two from each group plus the eight strongest third-place sides advancing to the round of 32 before the round of 16. Early group-stage results have shaped initial trader views, as seen in Group A where Mexico and South Korea sit atop the table after opening wins while Czechia and South Africa trail. Key variables include remaining fixtures, goal differential for third-place tiebreakers, squad depth amid a compressed schedule, and historical knockout-stage resilience for mid-tier sides. Recent form, injury updates from camp, and travel across North American venues continue to influence implied probabilities reflected in live pricing.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$676,615 Vol.

France
84%

Spain
81%

England
78%

Portugal
75%

Germany
73%

Brazil
71%

Argentina
70%

Belgium
65%

USA
65%

Mexico
63%

Netherlands
57%

Colombia
54%

Norway
54%

Switzerland
53%

Morocco
50%

South Korea
48%

Ecuador
42%

Uruguay
40%

Croatia
40%

Japan
39%

Canada
38%

Australia
35%

Ivory Coast
35%

Egypt
32%

Senegal
29%

Austria
29%

Turkiye
24%

Sweden
23%

Iran
23%

Bosnia and Herzegovina
22%

Scotland
21%

Algeria
20%

Czechia
19%

Paraguay
14%

Ghana
14%

DR Congo
12%

Tunisia
10%

Panama
9%

Cape Verde
7%

Saudi Arabia
7%

New Zealand
7%

Uzbekistan
7%

South Africa
6%

Curacao
6%

Jordan
5%

Qatar
4%

Iraq
3%

Haiti
3%
$676,615 Vol.

France
84%

Spain
81%

England
78%

Portugal
75%

Germany
73%

Brazil
71%

Argentina
70%

Belgium
65%

USA
65%

Mexico
63%

Netherlands
57%

Colombia
54%

Norway
54%

Switzerland
53%

Morocco
50%

South Korea
48%

Ecuador
42%

Uruguay
40%

Croatia
40%

Japan
39%

Canada
38%

Australia
35%

Ivory Coast
35%

Egypt
32%

Senegal
29%

Austria
29%

Turkiye
24%

Sweden
23%

Iran
23%

Bosnia and Herzegovina
22%

Scotland
21%

Algeria
20%

Czechia
19%

Paraguay
14%

Ghana
14%

DR Congo
12%

Tunisia
10%

Panama
9%

Cape Verde
7%

Saudi Arabia
7%

New Zealand
7%

Uzbekistan
7%

South Africa
6%

Curacao
6%

Jordan
5%

Qatar
4%

Iraq
3%

Haiti
3%
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16 (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16 matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 1, 2026, 10:52 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16 (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16 matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The expanded 2026 FIFA World Cup features 48 nations in 12 groups of four, with the top two from each group plus the eight strongest third-place sides advancing to the round of 32 before the round of 16. Early group-stage results have shaped initial trader views, as seen in Group A where Mexico and South Korea sit atop the table after opening wins while Czechia and South Africa trail. Key variables include remaining fixtures, goal differential for third-place tiebreakers, squad depth amid a compressed schedule, and historical knockout-stage resilience for mid-tier sides. Recent form, injury updates from camp, and travel across North American venues continue to influence implied probabilities reflected in live pricing.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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