Thunderstorm protocols in open-air U.S. venues, especially Florida stadiums during peak summer lightning season, represent the dominant driver for this market. FIFA follows regional safety rules requiring immediate suspension when lightning is detected within an 8-mile radius, followed by a rolling 30-minute wait that resets with each new strike; these formal halts differ from routine hydration breaks now mandated in every match. Recent warm-up games, including England’s delay against Costa Rica in Orlando, and six suspensions at the 2025 Club World Cup illustrate the pattern. With dozens of fixtures scheduled through July in high-risk areas and no strict FIFA cutoff for abandonment, traders price in multiple activations based on historical frequency and current forecasts rather than isolated heat concerns.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$15,005 Vol.
1+ matches
77%
2+ matches
55%
3+ matches
37%
4+ matches
26%
5+ matches
16%
6+ matches
7%
7+ matches
3%
8+ matches
4%
9+ matches
2%
$15,005 Vol.
1+ matches
77%
2+ matches
55%
3+ matches
37%
4+ matches
26%
5+ matches
16%
6+ matches
7%
7+ matches
3%
8+ matches
4%
9+ matches
2%
A match is counted if it is officially halted under the adverse-weather protocol, or postponed or rescheduled prior to kickoff due to weather. Each affected match counts once.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed matches.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the exact total cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 11, 2026, 11:01 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A match is counted if it is officially halted under the adverse-weather protocol, or postponed or rescheduled prior to kickoff due to weather. Each affected match counts once.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed matches.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the exact total cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Thunderstorm protocols in open-air U.S. venues, especially Florida stadiums during peak summer lightning season, represent the dominant driver for this market. FIFA follows regional safety rules requiring immediate suspension when lightning is detected within an 8-mile radius, followed by a rolling 30-minute wait that resets with each new strike; these formal halts differ from routine hydration breaks now mandated in every match. Recent warm-up games, including England’s delay against Costa Rica in Orlando, and six suspensions at the 2025 Club World Cup illustrate the pattern. With dozens of fixtures scheduled through July in high-risk areas and no strict FIFA cutoff for abandonment, traders price in multiple activations based on historical frequency and current forecasts rather than isolated heat concerns.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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