Yemeni government-aligned forces under the Presidential Leadership Council launched Operation Dawn of Yemen in early October 2026, backed by Saudi-led coalition airstrikes, to reverse recent Houthi gains along the Red Sea coast near Bab al-Mandeb and Mocha while declaring the recapture of Sanaa an explicit objective. Government troops reported advances in Taiz, Marib, and al-Jawf governorates, supported by over 100 coalition jets striking hundreds of targets, though Houthi forces continue to contest these claims and have retaliated with missile and drone attacks on Saudi infrastructure. Sanaa has remained under Houthi control since 2014, and reaching the capital would require sustained ground operations across difficult terrain against entrenched defenses, amid ongoing multi-front fighting and internal anti-Houthi divisions. These factors underpin low implied probabilities for near-term entry by late October or November.