Mounting pressure on Prime Minister Keir Starmer, triggered by Labour’s weak local election results and over 90 MPs publicly urging his departure, has positioned the next party leadership contest as a near-term possibility. Wes Streeting’s resignation as health secretary on 15 May, accompanied by criticism of leadership direction, has elevated him as an early declared contender. Former deputy prime minister Angela Rayner has cleared prior tax issues and signalled openness to a bid, while Greater Manchester mayor Andy Burnham is preparing to contest the Makerfield by-election to secure an MP seat required for eligibility. Energy secretary Ed Miliband and others remain in the frame, with any contest decided by one-member-one-vote among party members once 20 percent of MPs trigger nominations or Starmer resigns.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoCandidates in next Labour leadership election?
Candidates in next Labour leadership election?
$13,700 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Keir Starmer
44%
Wes Streeting
77%
Ed Miliband
13%
Angela Rayner
49%
Al Carns
54%
Andy Burnham
72%
$13,700 Vol.
Keir Starmer
$5,687 Vol.
44%
Wes Streeting
$3,165 Vol.
77%
Ed Miliband
$172 Vol.
13%
Angela Rayner
$509 Vol.
49%
Al Carns
$1,298 Vol.
54%
Andy Burnham
$2,870 Vol.
72%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is an official candidate in the next United Kingdom Labour Party leadership election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Official candidate” refers to the listed individual satisfying all applicable requirements and being officially confirmed by the Labour Party, or a consensus of credible reporting, as a candidate on the ballot for the next Labour Party leadership election. Seeking nominations, announcing an intention to run, or being reported as a potential candidate will not qualify unless the individual is officially confirmed as a candidate on the ballot.
If a Labour Party leadership election occurs, or the final candidates are confirmed, and the listed individual is not included as a candidate, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such election is scheduled, or the listed individual is not officially confirmed as a candidate, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed individual becomes the next leader of the Labour Party without any competitive ballot election, that will suffice for a “Yes” resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Kingdom Labour Party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mounting pressure on Prime Minister Keir Starmer, triggered by Labour’s weak local election results and over 90 MPs publicly urging his departure, has positioned the next party leadership contest as a near-term possibility. Wes Streeting’s resignation as health secretary on 15 May, accompanied by criticism of leadership direction, has elevated him as an early declared contender. Former deputy prime minister Angela Rayner has cleared prior tax issues and signalled openness to a bid, while Greater Manchester mayor Andy Burnham is preparing to contest the Makerfield by-election to secure an MP seat required for eligibility. Energy secretary Ed Miliband and others remain in the frame, with any contest decided by one-member-one-vote among party members once 20 percent of MPs trigger nominations or Starmer resigns.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is an official candidate in the next United Kingdom Labour Party leadership election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Official candidate” refers to the listed individual satisfying all applicable requirements and being officially confirmed by the Labour Party, or a consensus of credible reporting, as a candidate on the ballot for the next Labour Party leadership election. Seeking nominations, announcing an intention to run, or being reported as a potential candidate will not qualify unless the individual is officially confirmed as a candidate on the ballot.
If a Labour Party leadership election occurs, or the final candidates are confirmed, and the listed individual is not included as a candidate, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such election is scheduled, or the listed individual is not officially confirmed as a candidate, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed individual becomes the next leader of the Labour Party without any competitive ballot election, that will suffice for a “Yes” resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Kingdom Labour Party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
“Official candidate” refers to the listed individual satisfying all applicable requirements and being officially confirmed by the Labour Party, or a consensus of credible reporting, as a candidate on the ballot for the next Labour Party leadership election. Seeking nominations, announcing an intention to run, or being reported as a potential candidate will not qualify unless the individual is officially confirmed as a candidate on the ballot.
If a Labour Party leadership election occurs, or the final candidates are confirmed, and the listed individual is not included as a candidate, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such election is scheduled, or the listed individual is not officially confirmed as a candidate, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed individual becomes the next leader of the Labour Party without any competitive ballot election, that will suffice for a “Yes” resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Kingdom Labour Party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: May 13, 2026, 2:50 PM ET
Volumen
$13,700Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 2:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is an official candidate in the next United Kingdom Labour Party leadership election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Official candidate” refers to the listed individual satisfying all applicable requirements and being officially confirmed by the Labour Party, or a consensus of credible reporting, as a candidate on the ballot for the next Labour Party leadership election. Seeking nominations, announcing an intention to run, or being reported as a potential candidate will not qualify unless the individual is officially confirmed as a candidate on the ballot.
If a Labour Party leadership election occurs, or the final candidates are confirmed, and the listed individual is not included as a candidate, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such election is scheduled, or the listed individual is not officially confirmed as a candidate, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed individual becomes the next leader of the Labour Party without any competitive ballot election, that will suffice for a “Yes” resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Kingdom Labour Party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mounting pressure on Prime Minister Keir Starmer, triggered by Labour’s weak local election results and over 90 MPs publicly urging his departure, has positioned the next party leadership contest as a near-term possibility. Wes Streeting’s resignation as health secretary on 15 May, accompanied by criticism of leadership direction, has elevated him as an early declared contender. Former deputy prime minister Angela Rayner has cleared prior tax issues and signalled openness to a bid, while Greater Manchester mayor Andy Burnham is preparing to contest the Makerfield by-election to secure an MP seat required for eligibility. Energy secretary Ed Miliband and others remain in the frame, with any contest decided by one-member-one-vote among party members once 20 percent of MPs trigger nominations or Starmer resigns.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is an official candidate in the next United Kingdom Labour Party leadership election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Official candidate” refers to the listed individual satisfying all applicable requirements and being officially confirmed by the Labour Party, or a consensus of credible reporting, as a candidate on the ballot for the next Labour Party leadership election. Seeking nominations, announcing an intention to run, or being reported as a potential candidate will not qualify unless the individual is officially confirmed as a candidate on the ballot.
If a Labour Party leadership election occurs, or the final candidates are confirmed, and the listed individual is not included as a candidate, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such election is scheduled, or the listed individual is not officially confirmed as a candidate, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed individual becomes the next leader of the Labour Party without any competitive ballot election, that will suffice for a “Yes” resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Kingdom Labour Party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
“Official candidate” refers to the listed individual satisfying all applicable requirements and being officially confirmed by the Labour Party, or a consensus of credible reporting, as a candidate on the ballot for the next Labour Party leadership election. Seeking nominations, announcing an intention to run, or being reported as a potential candidate will not qualify unless the individual is officially confirmed as a candidate on the ballot.
If a Labour Party leadership election occurs, or the final candidates are confirmed, and the listed individual is not included as a candidate, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such election is scheduled, or the listed individual is not officially confirmed as a candidate, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed individual becomes the next leader of the Labour Party without any competitive ballot election, that will suffice for a “Yes” resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Kingdom Labour Party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$13,700Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 2:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Mounting pressure on Prime Minister Keir Starmer, triggered by Labour’s weak local election results and over 90 MPs publicly urging his departure, has positioned the next party leadership contest as a near-term possibility. Wes Streeting’s resignation as health secretary on 15 May, accompanied by criticism of leadership direction, has elevated him as an early declared contender. Former deputy prime minister Angela Rayner has cleared prior tax issues and signalled openness to a bid, while Greater Manchester mayor Andy Burnham is preparing to contest the Makerfield by-election to secure an MP seat required for eligibility. Energy secretary Ed Miliband and others remain in the frame, with any contest decided by one-member-one-vote among party members once 20 percent of MPs trigger nominations or Starmer resigns.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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