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Deportes·Ciclismo

Vuelta a España 2026: Ganadora

icon for Vuelta a España 2026: Ganadora
Deportes·Ciclismo

Vuelta a España 2026: Ganadora

ago 15

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ago 15

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Tadej Pogacar 84%

Laurence Pithie 9.9%

Wout van Aert 7.9%

Jonathan Milan 4.9%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Tadej Pogacar 84%

Laurence Pithie 9.9%

Wout van Aert 7.9%

Jonathan Milan 4.9%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Tadej Pogacar

$38 Vol.

84%

Laurence Pithie

$33 Vol.

10%

Wout van Aert

$33 Vol.

8%

Jonathan Milan

$33 Vol.

5%

Mads Pedersen

$33 Vol.

3%

Tobias Lund Andresen

$34 Vol.

1%

Mathieu van der Poel

$28 Vol.

1%

Isaac Del Toro

$28 Vol.

1%

Florian Vermeersch

$28 Vol.

1%

Juan Ayuso

$28 Vol.

1%

Remco Evenepoel

$33 Vol.

<1%

Jasper Philipsen

$33 Vol.

-

Mattias Skjelmose

$33 Vol.

-

Jonas Vingegaard

$33 Vol.

-

Richard Carapaz

$28 Vol.

-

Sam Welsford

$33 Vol.

-

Paul Seixas

$33 Vol.

-

Lenny Martinez

$33 Vol.

-

Tobias Johannessen

$28 Vol.

-

Florian Lipowitz

$28 Vol.

-

Brady Gilmore

$28 Vol.

-

Christophe Laporte

$33 Vol.

-

Mauro Schmid

$33 Vol.

-

Thomas Pidcock

$28 Vol.

-

Felix Gall

$33 Vol.

-

Romain Gregoire

$28 Vol.

-

Ben Tulett

$33 Vol.

-

Jasper Stuyven

$28 Vol.

-

Pello Bilbao

$28 Vol.

-

Christian Scaroni

$28 Vol.

-

This is a Polymarket on the winner of the 2026 Vuelta a Espana, scheduled for Aug 21, 2026. If the 2026 Vuelta a Espana is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the rider who is officially listed in first place in the Official Results published by the UCI / race organizer following the conclusion of the race. The official results are typically released shortly after the race ends and include any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the official results will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the official published classification will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official UCI website (uci.org) / race organizer's official website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.Tadej Pogacar’s confirmation to contest the 2026 Vuelta a España, his first appearance since 2019, has established him as the clear market leader at 84% implied probability. Fresh off a fifth Tour de France victory, the UAE Team Emirates-XRG leader faces a field weakened by Jonas Vingegaard’s absence, allowing Pogacar to target the rare Grand Tour treble. The route’s opening individual time trial in Monaco and multiple mountain stages favor his all-round strengths, while rivals such as Remco Evenepoel, Juan Ayuso, and João Almeida trail significantly in trader pricing. Recent team announcements and Pogacar’s dominant post-Tour form have driven the pronounced separation in probabilities, though the three-week Grand Tour remains subject to the usual risks of crashes, illness, or tactical setbacks in the August-September window.

This is a Polymarket on the winner of the 2026 Vuelta a Espana, scheduled for Aug 21, 2026.

If the 2026 Vuelta a Espana is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other."

This market will resolve in favor of the rider who is officially listed in first place in the Official Results published by the UCI / race organizer following the conclusion of the race. The official results are typically released shortly after the race ends and include any applied time penalties and official adjustments.

Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the official results will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the official published classification will be used to resolve this market.

The resolution source will be the official UCI website (uci.org) / race organizer's official website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Volumen
$937
Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 8, 2026, 7:30 AM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://www.uci.org

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This is a Polymarket on the winner of the 2026 Vuelta a Espana, scheduled for Aug 21, 2026. If the 2026 Vuelta a Espana is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the rider who is officially listed in first place in the Official Results published by the UCI / race organizer following the conclusion of the race. The official results are typically released shortly after the race ends and include any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the official results will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the official published classification will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official UCI website (uci.org) / race organizer's official website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
This is a Polymarket on the winner of the 2026 Vuelta a Espana, scheduled for Aug 21, 2026. If the 2026 Vuelta a Espana is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the rider who is officially listed in first place in the Official Results published by the UCI / race organizer following the conclusion of the race. The official results are typically released shortly after the race ends and include any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the official results will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the official published classification will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official UCI website (uci.org) / race organizer's official website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.Tadej Pogacar’s confirmation to contest the 2026 Vuelta a España, his first appearance since 2019, has established him as the clear market leader at 84% implied probability. Fresh off a fifth Tour de France victory, the UAE Team Emirates-XRG leader faces a field weakened by Jonas Vingegaard’s absence, allowing Pogacar to target the rare Grand Tour treble. The route’s opening individual time trial in Monaco and multiple mountain stages favor his all-round strengths, while rivals such as Remco Evenepoel, Juan Ayuso, and João Almeida trail significantly in trader pricing. Recent team announcements and Pogacar’s dominant post-Tour form have driven the pronounced separation in probabilities, though the three-week Grand Tour remains subject to the usual risks of crashes, illness, or tactical setbacks in the August-September window.

This is a Polymarket on the winner of the 2026 Vuelta a Espana, scheduled for Aug 21, 2026.

If the 2026 Vuelta a Espana is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other."

This market will resolve in favor of the rider who is officially listed in first place in the Official Results published by the UCI / race organizer following the conclusion of the race. The official results are typically released shortly after the race ends and include any applied time penalties and official adjustments.

Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the official results will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the official published classification will be used to resolve this market.

The resolution source will be the official UCI website (uci.org) / race organizer's official website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Volumen
$937
Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 8, 2026, 7:30 AM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://www.uci.org

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This is a Polymarket on the winner of the 2026 Vuelta a Espana, scheduled for Aug 21, 2026. If the 2026 Vuelta a Espana is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the rider who is officially listed in first place in the Official Results published by the UCI / race organizer following the conclusion of the race. The official results are typically released shortly after the race ends and include any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the official results will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the official published classification will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official UCI website (uci.org) / race organizer's official website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Vuelta a España 2026: Ganadora" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 30 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Tadej Pogacar" con 84%, seguido de "Jasper Philipsen" con 49%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 84¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 84% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Vuelta a España 2026: Ganadora" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Aug 8, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Vuelta a España 2026: Ganadora", explora los 30 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Vuelta a España 2026: Ganadora" es "Tadej Pogacar" con 84%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 84% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Jasper Philipsen" con 49%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Vuelta a España 2026: Ganadora" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.