Elon Musk's posting pace on X has settled into a moderate range during the August 3-5 window, with weekday averages near 33 posts and limited spikes from major company news or public debates. Recent tracker data shows consistent but not elevated activity across the three days, aligning trader consensus with the 40-64 outcome at near-certain implied probability. The absence of high-stakes Tesla or SpaceX announcements, earnings calls, or viral controversies has kept volume in check compared to busier periods. An upset into higher bins would require an unexpected catalyst—such as a breaking geopolitical development, product launch update, or extended thread series—that dramatically increases reply volume before the period closes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Elon Musk # tuitea del 3 al 5 de agosto de 2026?
¿Elon Musk # tuitea del 3 al 5 de agosto de 2026?
40-64 100.0%
<40 <1%
65-89 <1%
90-114 <1%
$767,288 Vol.
$767,288 Vol.
5 ago 2026
<40
No
40-64
Sí
65-89
No
90-114
No
115-139
No
140-164
No
165-189
No
190-214
No
215-239
No
240+
No
40-64 100.0%
<40 <1%
65-89 <1%
90-114 <1%
$767,288 Vol.
$767,288 Vol.
5 ago 2026
<40
$136,309 Vol.
No
40-64
$151,332 Vol.
Sí
65-89
$234,484 Vol.
No
90-114
$125,592 Vol.
No
115-139
$62,165 Vol.
No
140-164
$26,628 Vol.
No
165-189
$14,290 Vol.
No
190-214
$6,746 Vol.
No
215-239
$5,970 Vol.
No
240+
$3,773 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 3 12:00 PM ET to August 5, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's posting pace on X has settled into a moderate range during the August 3-5 window, with weekday averages near 33 posts and limited spikes from major company news or public debates. Recent tracker data shows consistent but not elevated activity across the three days, aligning trader consensus with the 40-64 outcome at near-certain implied probability. The absence of high-stakes Tesla or SpaceX announcements, earnings calls, or viral controversies has kept volume in check compared to busier periods. An upset into higher bins would require an unexpected catalyst—such as a breaking geopolitical development, product launch update, or extended thread series—that dramatically increases reply volume before the period closes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 3 12:00 PM ET to August 5, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Aug 1, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Volumen
$767,288Fecha de finalización
5 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 1, 2026, 12:07 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 3 12:00 PM ET to August 5, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's posting pace on X has settled into a moderate range during the August 3-5 window, with weekday averages near 33 posts and limited spikes from major company news or public debates. Recent tracker data shows consistent but not elevated activity across the three days, aligning trader consensus with the 40-64 outcome at near-certain implied probability. The absence of high-stakes Tesla or SpaceX announcements, earnings calls, or viral controversies has kept volume in check compared to busier periods. An upset into higher bins would require an unexpected catalyst—such as a breaking geopolitical development, product launch update, or extended thread series—that dramatically increases reply volume before the period closes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 3 12:00 PM ET to August 5, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$767,288Fecha de finalización
5 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 1, 2026, 12:07 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Elon Musk's posting pace on X has settled into a moderate range during the August 3-5 window, with weekday averages near 33 posts and limited spikes from major company news or public debates. Recent tracker data shows consistent but not elevated activity across the three days, aligning trader consensus with the 40-64 outcome at near-certain implied probability. The absence of high-stakes Tesla or SpaceX announcements, earnings calls, or viral controversies has kept volume in check compared to busier periods. An upset into higher bins would require an unexpected catalyst—such as a breaking geopolitical development, product launch update, or extended thread series—that dramatically increases reply volume before the period closes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes