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icon for Khamenei # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026?

Khamenei # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026?

icon for Khamenei # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026?

Khamenei # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026?

<5 60%

5-9 30%

10-14 8%

25-29 6.8%

Polymarket
NUEVO

<5 60%

5-9 30%

10-14 8%

25-29 6.8%

Polymarket
NUEVO

<5

$2,484 Vol.

60%

5-9

$203 Vol.

30%

10-14

$138 Vol.

8%

15-19

$21 Vol.

4%

20-24

$20 Vol.

3%

25-29

$30 Vol.

7%

30-34

$20 Vol.

6%

35-39

$20 Vol.

4%

40-44

$20 Vol.

1%

45-49

$20 Vol.

1%

50-54

$20 Vol.

1%

55-59

$20 Vol.

1%

60+

$20 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**The official @khamenei_ir account, which disseminates statements from Iran’s late Supreme Leader, has maintained a low posting rate in recent weeks, with trackers showing only two posts in the prior seven-day window.** This pattern aligns with the account’s established approach of sharing occasional archival quotes or thematic content rather than frequent original statements. The current week falls during the Arbaeen period, when related religious messaging has appeared, but activity remains sparse and largely repurposed from earlier years. Trader consensus reflected in the leading <5 outcome (59.5%) and secondary 5-9 bin (29.5%) incorporates this baseline frequency alongside the absence of major scheduled announcements or escalatory events that would prompt higher volume. Historical precedent for the account supports expectations of limited output unless new official statements or commemorative needs arise within the resolution window.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$3,036
Fecha de finalización
14 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://x.com/khamenei_ir
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**The official @khamenei_ir account, which disseminates statements from Iran’s late Supreme Leader, has maintained a low posting rate in recent weeks, with trackers showing only two posts in the prior seven-day window.** This pattern aligns with the account’s established approach of sharing occasional archival quotes or thematic content rather than frequent original statements. The current week falls during the Arbaeen period, when related religious messaging has appeared, but activity remains sparse and largely repurposed from earlier years. Trader consensus reflected in the leading <5 outcome (59.5%) and secondary 5-9 bin (29.5%) incorporates this baseline frequency alongside the absence of major scheduled announcements or escalatory events that would prompt higher volume. Historical precedent for the account supports expectations of limited output unless new official statements or commemorative needs arise within the resolution window.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$3,036
Fecha de finalización
14 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://x.com/khamenei_ir
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Khamenei # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 13 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "<5" con 60%, seguido de "5-9" con 30%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 60¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 60% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Khamenei # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Aug 4, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Khamenei # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026?", explora los 13 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Khamenei # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026?" es "<5" con 60%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 60% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "5-9" con 30%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Khamenei # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.