Trader consensus in this Elon Musk tweet-volume market centers on his established X posting rhythm of roughly 15-25 posts per day, which projects a 40-64 total for the three-day window at 46.5% implied probability. Recent similar contracts show traders weighting typical weekday activity against quieter weekend patterns, with the 65-89 range (26.5%) and sub-40 bucket (18.5%) capturing variance from routine replies and engagement. No confirmed major news cycles, product launches, or platform events have surfaced to drive spikes, keeping higher brackets as low-probability tails. The short timeframe and absence of catalysts reinforce baseline expectations while highlighting how quickly sentiment can shift with breaking developments.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado40-64 47%
65-89 27%
<40 18%
90-114 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
10 ago 2026
<40
18%
40-64
47%
65-89
27%
90-114
6%
115-139
1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 47%
65-89 27%
<40 18%
90-114 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
10 ago 2026
<40
$659 Vol.
18%
40-64
$163 Vol.
47%
65-89
$1,523 Vol.
27%
90-114
$1,464 Vol.
6%
115-139
$1,115 Vol.
1%
140-164
$583 Vol.
<1%
165-189
$583 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$152 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$181 Vol.
<1%
240+
$376 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 8 12:00 PM ET to August 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus in this Elon Musk tweet-volume market centers on his established X posting rhythm of roughly 15-25 posts per day, which projects a 40-64 total for the three-day window at 46.5% implied probability. Recent similar contracts show traders weighting typical weekday activity against quieter weekend patterns, with the 65-89 range (26.5%) and sub-40 bucket (18.5%) capturing variance from routine replies and engagement. No confirmed major news cycles, product launches, or platform events have surfaced to drive spikes, keeping higher brackets as low-probability tails. The short timeframe and absence of catalysts reinforce baseline expectations while highlighting how quickly sentiment can shift with breaking developments.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 8 12:00 PM ET to August 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Aug 6, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Volumen
$6,789Fecha de finalización
10 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 6, 2026, 12:07 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 8 12:00 PM ET to August 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus in this Elon Musk tweet-volume market centers on his established X posting rhythm of roughly 15-25 posts per day, which projects a 40-64 total for the three-day window at 46.5% implied probability. Recent similar contracts show traders weighting typical weekday activity against quieter weekend patterns, with the 65-89 range (26.5%) and sub-40 bucket (18.5%) capturing variance from routine replies and engagement. No confirmed major news cycles, product launches, or platform events have surfaced to drive spikes, keeping higher brackets as low-probability tails. The short timeframe and absence of catalysts reinforce baseline expectations while highlighting how quickly sentiment can shift with breaking developments.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 8 12:00 PM ET to August 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$6,789Fecha de finalización
10 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 6, 2026, 12:07 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus in this Elon Musk tweet-volume market centers on his established X posting rhythm of roughly 15-25 posts per day, which projects a 40-64 total for the three-day window at 46.5% implied probability. Recent similar contracts show traders weighting typical weekday activity against quieter weekend patterns, with the 65-89 range (26.5%) and sub-40 bucket (18.5%) capturing variance from routine replies and engagement. No confirmed major news cycles, product launches, or platform events have surfaced to drive spikes, keeping higher brackets as low-probability tails. The short timeframe and absence of catalysts reinforce baseline expectations while highlighting how quickly sentiment can shift with breaking developments.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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