Spider-Man: Brand New Day's record $360 million domestic opening weekend, the largest in history and ahead of Avengers: Endgame, combined with blockbuster midweek holds like a $42 million Tuesday, has locked in overwhelming trader consensus for a sub-$180 million second weekend. Strong critical reception, near-perfect audience scores, and euphoric word-of-mouth support a solid hold against minimal competition, aligning with tracking for roughly $135-140 million. While an upset above $180 million would require an unprecedented retention rate for a superhero sequel or surprise legs from PLF screens, current momentum and historical patterns make that outcome highly improbable ahead of the frame.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office
<180m 99.5%
180-190 millones <1%
190-200m <1%
200-210 millones <1%
$57,750 Vol.
$57,750 Vol.
9 ago 2026
<180m
100%
180-190 millones
<1%
190-200m
<1%
200-210 millones
<1%
210-220 millones
<1%
220 millones+
<1%
<180m 99.5%
180-190 millones <1%
190-200m <1%
200-210 millones <1%
$57,750 Vol.
$57,750 Vol.
9 ago 2026
<180m
$38,701 Vol.
100%
180-190 millones
$5,105 Vol.
<1%
190-200m
$4,010 Vol.
<1%
200-210 millones
$1,936 Vol.
<1%
210-220 millones
$3,503 Vol.
<1%
220 millones+
$4,495 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day's record $360 million domestic opening weekend, the largest in history and ahead of Avengers: Endgame, combined with blockbuster midweek holds like a $42 million Tuesday, has locked in overwhelming trader consensus for a sub-$180 million second weekend. Strong critical reception, near-perfect audience scores, and euphoric word-of-mouth support a solid hold against minimal competition, aligning with tracking for roughly $135-140 million. While an upset above $180 million would require an unprecedented retention rate for a superhero sequel or surprise legs from PLF screens, current momentum and historical patterns make that outcome highly improbable ahead of the frame.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercado abierto: Aug 3, 2026, 8:32 PM ET
Volumen
$57,750Fecha de finalización
9 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 3, 2026, 8:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day's record $360 million domestic opening weekend, the largest in history and ahead of Avengers: Endgame, combined with blockbuster midweek holds like a $42 million Tuesday, has locked in overwhelming trader consensus for a sub-$180 million second weekend. Strong critical reception, near-perfect audience scores, and euphoric word-of-mouth support a solid hold against minimal competition, aligning with tracking for roughly $135-140 million. While an upset above $180 million would require an unprecedented retention rate for a superhero sequel or surprise legs from PLF screens, current momentum and historical patterns make that outcome highly improbable ahead of the frame.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volumen
$57,750Fecha de finalización
9 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 3, 2026, 8:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Spider-Man: Brand New Day's record $360 million domestic opening weekend, the largest in history and ahead of Avengers: Endgame, combined with blockbuster midweek holds like a $42 million Tuesday, has locked in overwhelming trader consensus for a sub-$180 million second weekend. Strong critical reception, near-perfect audience scores, and euphoric word-of-mouth support a solid hold against minimal competition, aligning with tracking for roughly $135-140 million. While an upset above $180 million would require an unprecedented retention rate for a superhero sequel or surprise legs from PLF screens, current momentum and historical patterns make that outcome highly improbable ahead of the frame.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRelacionado
¿La taquilla del segundo fin de semana de "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" estará entre 140 y 150 millones?
67%
Sí
¿Será la recaudación doméstica total de Spider-Man: Brand New Day entre 800 y 900 millones para el 31 de agosto?
63%
Sí
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 900m by August 31?
45%
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes