**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** posted a record $360 million domestic opening weekend, surpassing Avengers: Endgame and fueling strong trader expectations for a robust sophomore frame. Exceptional word-of-mouth, Tom Holland’s star power, and minimal competition position the film for a relatively modest drop from its historic debut, with the market-implied odds clustering tightly around the 150-170 million range. Analysts note the picture’s rapid $1 billion global milestone and euphoric audience response as key momentum drivers, though typical post-opening declines for tentpoles and any emerging midweek data could still influence the exact hold. The closely contested brackets reflect uncertainty around precise percentage drops versus absolute dollars, with traders weighing the film’s exceptional tracking against historical superhero hold patterns ahead of the August 7-9 weekend.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoTaquilla del segundo fin de semana de "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" (Lower Strikes)
Taquilla del segundo fin de semana de "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" (Lower Strikes)
160-170 millones 34%
150-160 millones 28%
140-150 millones 27%
170-180 millones 24%
NUEVO
NUEVO
9 ago 2026
<130m
12%
130-140 millones
13%
140-150 millones
27%
150-160 millones
28%
160-170 millones
34%
170-180 millones
24%
180 millones+
8%
160-170 millones 34%
150-160 millones 28%
140-150 millones 27%
170-180 millones 24%
NUEVO
NUEVO
9 ago 2026
<130m
$16 Vol.
12%
130-140 millones
$16 Vol.
13%
140-150 millones
$16 Vol.
27%
150-160 millones
$41 Vol.
28%
160-170 millones
$41 Vol.
34%
170-180 millones
$41 Vol.
24%
180 millones+
$16 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** posted a record $360 million domestic opening weekend, surpassing Avengers: Endgame and fueling strong trader expectations for a robust sophomore frame. Exceptional word-of-mouth, Tom Holland’s star power, and minimal competition position the film for a relatively modest drop from its historic debut, with the market-implied odds clustering tightly around the 150-170 million range.
Analysts note the picture’s rapid $1 billion global milestone and euphoric audience response as key momentum drivers, though typical post-opening declines for tentpoles and any emerging midweek data could still influence the exact hold. The closely contested brackets reflect uncertainty around precise percentage drops versus absolute dollars, with traders weighing the film’s exceptional tracking against historical superhero hold patterns ahead of the August 7-9 weekend.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercado abierto: Aug 5, 2026, 8:27 PM ET
Volumen
$184Fecha de finalización
9 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 5, 2026, 8:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** posted a record $360 million domestic opening weekend, surpassing Avengers: Endgame and fueling strong trader expectations for a robust sophomore frame. Exceptional word-of-mouth, Tom Holland’s star power, and minimal competition position the film for a relatively modest drop from its historic debut, with the market-implied odds clustering tightly around the 150-170 million range.
Analysts note the picture’s rapid $1 billion global milestone and euphoric audience response as key momentum drivers, though typical post-opening declines for tentpoles and any emerging midweek data could still influence the exact hold. The closely contested brackets reflect uncertainty around precise percentage drops versus absolute dollars, with traders weighing the film’s exceptional tracking against historical superhero hold patterns ahead of the August 7-9 weekend.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volumen
$184Fecha de finalización
9 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 5, 2026, 8:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** posted a record $360 million domestic opening weekend, surpassing Avengers: Endgame and fueling strong trader expectations for a robust sophomore frame. Exceptional word-of-mouth, Tom Holland’s star power, and minimal competition position the film for a relatively modest drop from its historic debut, with the market-implied odds clustering tightly around the 150-170 million range. Analysts note the picture’s rapid $1 billion global milestone and euphoric audience response as key momentum drivers, though typical post-opening declines for tentpoles and any emerging midweek data could still influence the exact hold. The closely contested brackets reflect uncertainty around precise percentage drops versus absolute dollars, with traders weighing the film’s exceptional tracking against historical superhero hold patterns ahead of the August 7-9 weekend.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRelacionado
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 180m?
89%
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 1000m and 1020m by August 31?
47%
¿Será la recaudación bruta total nacional de Spider-Man: Brand New Day de al menos 900 millones para el 31 de agosto?
82%
Sí
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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