**Trader consensus on Elon Musk’s tweet volume for June 13-15 centers on the 40-64 bucket (49.5% implied probability) because that range aligns with his documented baseline of roughly 8–15 posts per day during ordinary periods.** The adjacent 65-89 band (35%) captures the possibility of a modest surge driven by ongoing SpaceX IPO preparations and a scheduled Starlink launch window on the 15th. Recent similar markets for early June periods show traders anchoring expectations to this moderate-activity zone absent major breaking news or viral controversies. Weekend timing typically dampens volume compared with weekdays heavy on earnings calls or policy commentary, though Musk’s pattern of late-night replies and company updates can still push totals into the upper half of the leading range. No singular catalyst has emerged to shift sentiment toward the lower or extreme tails.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Elon Musk # tuitea del 13 de junio al 15 de junio de 2026?
¿Elon Musk # tuitea del 13 de junio al 15 de junio de 2026?
40-64 50%
65-89 35%
90-114 13%
<40 9%
NUEVO
$23,628 Vol.
NUEVO
$23,628 Vol.
15 jun 2026
<40
9%
40-64
50%
65-89
35%
90-114
13%
115-139
2%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 50%
65-89 35%
90-114 13%
<40 9%
NUEVO
$23,628 Vol.
NUEVO
$23,628 Vol.
15 jun 2026
<40
$581 Vol.
9%
40-64
$78 Vol.
50%
65-89
$311 Vol.
35%
90-114
$373 Vol.
13%
115-139
$249 Vol.
2%
140-164
$301 Vol.
<1%
165-189
$1,746 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$7,088 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$7,088 Vol.
<1%
240+
$5,818 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 13 12:00 PM ET to June 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Trader consensus on Elon Musk’s tweet volume for June 13-15 centers on the 40-64 bucket (49.5% implied probability) because that range aligns with his documented baseline of roughly 8–15 posts per day during ordinary periods.** The adjacent 65-89 band (35%) captures the possibility of a modest surge driven by ongoing SpaceX IPO preparations and a scheduled Starlink launch window on the 15th.
Recent similar markets for early June periods show traders anchoring expectations to this moderate-activity zone absent major breaking news or viral controversies. Weekend timing typically dampens volume compared with weekdays heavy on earnings calls or policy commentary, though Musk’s pattern of late-night replies and company updates can still push totals into the upper half of the leading range. No singular catalyst has emerged to shift sentiment toward the lower or extreme tails.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 13 12:00 PM ET to June 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Jun 11, 2026, 12:02 PM ET
Volumen
$23,628Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 11, 2026, 12:02 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 13 12:00 PM ET to June 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Trader consensus on Elon Musk’s tweet volume for June 13-15 centers on the 40-64 bucket (49.5% implied probability) because that range aligns with his documented baseline of roughly 8–15 posts per day during ordinary periods.** The adjacent 65-89 band (35%) captures the possibility of a modest surge driven by ongoing SpaceX IPO preparations and a scheduled Starlink launch window on the 15th.
Recent similar markets for early June periods show traders anchoring expectations to this moderate-activity zone absent major breaking news or viral controversies. Weekend timing typically dampens volume compared with weekdays heavy on earnings calls or policy commentary, though Musk’s pattern of late-night replies and company updates can still push totals into the upper half of the leading range. No singular catalyst has emerged to shift sentiment toward the lower or extreme tails.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 13 12:00 PM ET to June 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$23,628Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 11, 2026, 12:02 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on Elon Musk’s tweet volume for June 13-15 centers on the 40-64 bucket (49.5% implied probability) because that range aligns with his documented baseline of roughly 8–15 posts per day during ordinary periods.** The adjacent 65-89 band (35%) captures the possibility of a modest surge driven by ongoing SpaceX IPO preparations and a scheduled Starlink launch window on the 15th. Recent similar markets for early June periods show traders anchoring expectations to this moderate-activity zone absent major breaking news or viral controversies. Weekend timing typically dampens volume compared with weekdays heavy on earnings calls or policy commentary, though Musk’s pattern of late-night replies and company updates can still push totals into the upper half of the leading range. No singular catalyst has emerged to shift sentiment toward the lower or extreme tails.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes